Australian Open betting preview: Novak Djokovic fancied to win Australian Open

Tim Clement previews the Australian Open
Tim Clement previews the Australian Open

Tennis expert Tim Clement previews the men's Australian Open, where tournament favourite Novak Djokovic looks to have everything in his favour.

Recommended bets

4pts Novak Djokovic to win the title at 5/4

1pt e.w. Kevin Anderson to win the title at 33/1

Novak Djokovic looks an irresistible bet at odds-against to win the 2019 Australian Open as he looks to claim an unprecedented seventh title Down Under.

Both he and Roger Federer are looking to achieve that feat but it is the Serb who commands worthy favouritism as he attempts to land a third successive major.

A top price of 5/4 might look short to some for a 128-field event, but Djokovic stands head and shoulders above when at his best at Melbourne Park.

That had not been the case in the two years following his career grand slam-completing 2016 French Open win, but the switch was flicked back on in ominous fashion for the second half of 2018.

Motivation has clearly been the issue for Djokovic, who won all of his four titles last year at Masters or grand slam level and with Federer in the field.

That means we can dismiss his recent semi-final Qatar Open loss to Roberto Bautista-Agut as little more than a lack of focusand he's a strong fancy.

Swiss superstar Federer stands as second favourite and will capture the interest of plenty at 5/1 following another imperious showing at the Hopman Cup.

He achieved something Djokovic failed to do in the final of the World Tour Finals, beating the game’s most promising young player Alexander Zverev in Perth, but the gruelling format will ask far more questions of the 37-year-old’s body.

Mild temperatures have preceded the season’s opening Slam, but are cranking up for the opening rounds, with a forecast of 34c on Monday rising to 37c by Tuesday.

Again, that nudges us towards Djokovic’s superior conditioning.

Unfortunately we cannot say the same for fellow greats Rafael Nadal and Andy Murray.

Nadal arrives without a tour-level contest in four months after withdrawing from the Brisbane International with a thigh strain, while a climb back to the top of the game for Murray had looked unlikely even before Friday's announcement that this could be his farewell tournament.

We’ll look more closely at the array of intriguing opening-round contests before action begins, but for now we can suitably assess neither will produce their best tennis over the next fortnight, with Murray in particular having been handed a shocking draw.

Nadal’s section of the draw does open up some outright interest, with potential third-round Australian opponent Alex De Minaur capable of providing some home hope.

The level-headed 19-year-old, who reached the NextGen Finals final, has a well-rounded game and could go further than his top price of 150/1 suggests.

Recent Maharashtra Open winner Kevin Anderson looks a more sensible shout to benefit from questions surrounding Nadal’s condition and, at 33/1, he's a strong each-way shout.

The fifth seed is protected from another 50-game, fifth-set encounter following Tennis Australia’s decision to opt for a ‘championship tie-break’ at 6-6 in the decider.

There’s little to suggest fresh legs would see him take out Federer and then Djokovic, but he’s arguably the most likely beneficiary if the stars fail to shine at Melbourne Park.

Posted at 1515 GMT on 11/01/19.

Related tennis content

Like what you've read?
Help your friends Know It All by sharing this article to your social media.

Most Read

Get all the latest football gossip from the day's back pages1

Paper Talk: Rashford's big pay day

Marcus Rashford is set to see his wages double with a new Manchester United deal as Gonzalo Higuain jets in for Chelsea move.

Check out our latest daily racing preview2

Friday's racing preview

Anita Chambers makes Shamshon her best bet on Friday and she has a tip for every race.

3

Daily Nap: Alainn the ace

David Ord hopes a well-handicapped mare is capable of successfully conceding weight to all her rivals at Chepstow on Friday.

Sporting Life's Premier League preview package4

Saturday's Premier League tips

Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.

Haydock - inspect for Saturday card5

Snow threat to Haydock

Haydock's feature Peter Marsh Chase meeting on Saturday must survive a 7.30am inspection.

Most Read

Get all the latest football gossip from the day's back pages1

Paper Talk: Rashford's big pay day

Marcus Rashford is set to see his wages double with a new Manchester United deal as Gonzalo Higuain jets in for Chelsea move.

Check out our latest daily racing preview2

Friday's racing preview

Anita Chambers makes Shamshon her best bet on Friday and she has a tip for every race.

3

Daily Nap: Alainn the ace

David Ord hopes a well-handicapped mare is capable of successfully conceding weight to all her rivals at Chepstow on Friday.

Sporting Life's Premier League preview package4

Saturday's Premier League tips

Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.

Haydock - inspect for Saturday card5

Snow threat to Haydock

Haydock's feature Peter Marsh Chase meeting on Saturday must survive a 7.30am inspection.

Racing Tips

Check out our latest daily racing preview

Friday's racing preview

Anita Chambers makes Shamshon her best bet on Friday and she has a tip for every race.

Favourites do not have a great record in the Peter Marsh

Big-trends trends: Peter Marsh Chase

We've teamed up with Weatherbys to highlight the key trends from the past 10 editions of the Peter Marsh Chase.

Check out our preview of the day's action

Saturday's racing preview

Global Citizen is Anita Chambers' best bet for Saturday and she has a tip for every race in the UK and Ireland.

Next Race Off

12:45 Cagnes-sur-Mer
7
(6)
Pastichop
J: A Hamelin
10
(10)
Rebel Lightning
J: P C Boudot
2
(5)
Copper Baked
J: M Guyon
11
(12)
Namasjar
J: C Soumillon

Football Tips

Our best bets for Norwich v Birmingham

Friday night shots at Carrow Road

With 6/1, 9/1 and 11/1 winners among others in 2019 already, Tom Carnduff picks out three best bets for Friday night's game.

Sporting Life's Premier League preview package

Saturday's Premier League tips

Mark your card for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs in the Premier League with the best bets, Super 6 predictions and top stats for each game.

Get your bets on!

Our best bets

Check out all of our available betting tips and previews of the forthcoming sporting action.