17:15 Newcastle

Tuesday 10 March 2020

All16:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Fillies' Handicap

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 5  |   1m 4f 98y  |   Standard  |   6 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 17:16  |   Winning time: 2m 50.27s
1st
Horse silk
3
(6)
Merry Vale
49-5
2/1
T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin
Held up in touch, smooth headway over 2f out, led approaching final furlong, ran on well op 13/8
2nd
Horse silk
2 ¾
5
(2)
Ravenscar
49-3
11/2
T: P A KirbyJ: B A Curtis
Tracked leader, led over 1f out, headed approaching final furlong, stayed on same pace tchd 6/1
3rd
Horse silk
nk
4
(1)
Greengage
59-4
5/4f
T: T DavidsonJ: Jason Hart
Held up, headway over 1f out, stayed on into 3rd entering final furlong, never able to challenge op 6/4
4th
Horse silk
¾
1
(5)
Baladio
49-7
8/1
T: J MackieJ: A Mullen
Keen in rear, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace op 11/1
5th
Horse silk
2 ¼
6
(3)
Flood Defence
69-0
10/1
T: I JardineJ: Jamie Gormley
Pulled hard, tracked leader, led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, no extra closing stages op 14/1
6th
Horse silk
nk
2
(4)
Lady Camelot
59-7
25/1
T: P A KirbyJ: Nick Barratt-Atkin (7)
Led until over 2f out, lost place over 1f out op 33/1
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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.30Pl:£1.80, £3.00EX:£11.30Trifecta:£36.60SF:£14.13Swingers:£2.50, £1.40, £5.30

Forecasts

Greengage (5/4), Merry Vale (2/1), Ravenscar (11/2), Baladio (8/1), Flood Defence (10/1), Lady Camelot (25/1)

Verdict

Truthfully this won't take a great deal of winning. John Gosden's Merry Vale will undoubtedly figure prominently in the market on her handicap debut, and could well win doing handsprings against such opponents. However, she's clearly well down the pecking order in that particular yard and with some doubts about her stamina reserves is worth opposing at the projected cramped odds. In the context of this race, Flood Defence boasts some reasonable historic turf form (0-12 on the AW) but the safer option on Tapeta is probably the improving C&D winner GREENGAGE. Her form figures on the AW since October 2019 read 11216.
  1. Greengage
  2. Merry Vale
  3. Flood Defence

Prize Money

1st: £3,429.002nd: £1,020.003rd: £510.004th: £400.005th: £400.006th: £400.007th: £400.008th: £400.00

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