17:20 Southwell

Wednesday 15 January 2020

All16:2016:5017:2017:5018:2018:5019:20

Betway Novice Stakes

Off time: 17:26 | Winning time: 1m 15.31s

1^st

(4)

Lion Tower

39-5

10/3

T: C & M JohnstonJ: J Fanning

Led, headed over 4f out, led again over 1f out, ridden and ran on Mkt1: op 11/4 tchd 7/2; Mkt2 op 3/1

2^nd

1 ½

(3)

Sur Mer

39-0

9/1

T: R M H CowellJ: Hayley Turner

Dwelt close up, pushed along and headway approaching final furlong, kept on to chase winner inside final furlong Mkt1: tchd 12/1

3^rd

2 ¼

(2)

Prince Caspian

39-5

7/4f

T: R HannonJ: Mark Crehan (5)

Keen tracked leaders, pushed along halfway, ridden to chase winner over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong Mkt1: op 15/8 tchd 2/1; Mkt2 op 15/8

4^th

3 ½

(8)

Global Esteem

39-5

2/1

T: Miss Gay KellewayJ: L Morris

Taken to post early, led over 4f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened final furlong Mkt1: op 3/1 tchd 9/4

5^th

4 ¼

(6)

Mr Terry

39-5

16/1

T: J A OsborneJ: Nicola Currie

Pushed along in touch in rear, never on terms Mkt1: op 25/1 tchd 20/1

6^th

(1)

Been Bobbied

39-5

12/1

T: R A FaheyJ: Connor Murtagh (3)

Dwelt, pushed along in touch in rear, pushed along 2f out, never on terms Mkt1: op 10/1 tchd 14/1

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Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 5p in the pound

Non-Runners

(7)

Lady Dandy⁵⁵

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: I Furtado J: Lewis Edmunds

(5)

Lady Latte¹²⁶

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: K R Burke J: Rhona Pindar

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£4.30Pl:£2.20, £3.20EX:£35.50Trifecta:£100.20SF:£32.65Swingers:£4.60, £1.80, £3.00

Forecasts

Prince Caspian (7/4), Global Esteem (2/1), Lion Tower (10/3), Sur Mer (9/1), Lady Latte (10/1), Been Bobbied (12/1), Mr Terry (16/1), Lady Dandy (100/1)

This 6f novice contest lacks a standout contender with the strong possibility that the proven form horses (Prince Caspian, Lion Tower and Global Esteem) could get locked into a battle for the lead. Therefore, some outside of the box thinking is applied. The Gutaifan colt MR TERRY cost 50,000gns as a yearling but was green when easy to back (33-1) on debut at Lingfield. Well-related he could feasibly step forward off a 53-day absence, so receives the tentative each-way shekels. Of the remainder, the newcomer Sur Mer is worthy of consideration for the Cowell/Turner combination, even more so if the market vibes are overtly strong.