17:10 Newcastle

Friday 7 September 2018

All13:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:3517:1017:40

    Northumbrian Water Group/EBF Novice Stakes (Plus 10)

  • 2YO only  |   Class 4  |   6f  |   Standard  |   14 Runners  |   Allweather
  • Weighed In
  • Off time: 17:13  |   Winning time: 1m 11.02s
1st
Horse silk
12
(9)
28-11
5/2f
T: J TateJ: D Allan
Held up in mid-division, smooth headway on heels of leaders 2f out, went 2nd entering final furlong, quickened to lead final 100 yards, ran on well op 7/2
2nd
Horse silk
¾
9
(12)
5/1
T: K R BurkeJ: M Stainton
Chased leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed and not pace of winner final 100 yards op 6/1 tchd 9/2
3rd
Horse silk
1 ¾
13
(5)
5/1
T: B EllisonJ: J Quinn
Raced keenly, chased leaders, ridden and kept on same pace in 3rd inside final furlong op 7/2 tchd 7/1
4th
Horse silk
1 ¾
4
(6)
12/1
T: D O'MearaJ: D Tudhope
Slightly hampered after start, soon chasing leaders, every chance over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong op 14/1 tchd 11/1
5th
Horse silk
½
7
(7)
15/2
T: C HillsJ: Callum Shepherd
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong op 8/1
6th
Horse silk
1
5
(1)
7/2
T: J J QuinnJ: G Lee
Raced keenly, led until over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong op 4/1 tchd 3/1
7th
Horse silk
3 ¾
8
(10)
33/1
T: J D BethellJ: P Hanagan
Chased leaders, weakened over 1f out
8th
Horse silk
¾
6
(13)
100/1
T: Stef KeniryJ: Patrick Vaughan (5)
Steadied start, held up last, pushed along and kept on steadily inside final furlong, never troubled leaders op 66/1
9th
Horse silk
5
2
(11)
50/1
T: T D EasterbyJ: D Fentiman
Restless in gates, mid-division, headway near side of group halfway, weakened well over 1f out op 66/1
10th
Horse silk
9
11
(2)
20/1
T: E A L DunlopJ: F Norton
Outpaced towards rear, headway and keeping on when badly hampered approaching final furlong, no chance after, eased op 16/1 tchd 22/1
11th
Horse silk
3
10
(14)
40/1
T: Sir Mark PrescottJ: L Morris
Outpaced and always towards rear op 50/1
12th
Horse silk
6
3
(8)
33/1
T: J J QuinnJ: Jack Mitchell
Pulled hard and prominent, weakened over 2f out op 40/1 tchd 50/1
13th
Horse silk
sh
1
(3)
66/1
T: M & D EasterbyJ: Callum Rodriguez (3)
Outpaced and always in rear op 80/1

Also Ran

UR
Horse silk
14
(4)
40/1
T: J G GivenJ: Barry McHugh
Chased leaders, pushed along over 2f out, clipped heels stumbled and unseated rider approaching final furlong op 50/1 tchd 66/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£3.00Pl:£1.20, £2.60, £2.10EX:£18.20Trifecta:£83.00SF:£14.59Swingers:£4.70, £4.40, £3.60

Forecasts

Promote (5/2), Kickham Street (7/2), Shallow Hal (5/1), Quickly Does It (5/1), Nubough (15/2), Hot Contest (12/1), Toro Dorado (20/1), Rich Approach (33/1), Here's Rocco (33/1), The Game Is On (40/1), Sister of The Sign (40/1), Grimsdyke (50/1), Ganton Eagle (66/1), Macs Blessings (100/1)

Verdict

Not the kind of race for offering strong advice, and adopting more of a watching brief than anything else looks to be the safest way forward. Of the newcomers NUBOUGH and Promote are interesting, with the former (and selection) hailing from a decent family line and representing a trainer with a 27% strike-rate (8-30) at the track. Quickly Does It out-shone all reasonable market expectations on soft ground at Carlisle last month, and bids to show that was no fluke on a vastly different racing surface, whilst at a likely bigger price the slowly improving Shallow Hal could sneak a place at this more suitable galloping track.
  1. Nubough
  2. Promote
  3. Shallow Hal

Previous Winners

2017
Rastacap
Weight: 8-11  |Age: 2
4/1

Prize Money

1st: £4,787.002nd: £1,424.003rd: £712.004th: £356.00

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