13:20 Wincanton

Thursday 1 February 2018

All13:2013:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:45

    Carling Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 3  |   1m 7f 65y  |   Heavy  |   12 Runners  |   Turf
  • Weighed In
  • Off time: 13:20  |   Winning time: 4m 3.3s
1st
Horse silk
5
10/11f
T: C L TizzardJ: T Scudamore
Chased leaders, went 2nd from 3rd, led before next, clear after 2 out until last, driven flat, stayed on op 5/6 tchd 4/5
2nd
Horse silk
¾
4
40/1
T: N J HawkeJ: Tom Cannon
Held up towards rear, 7th and some headway after 3 out, went 2nd after 2 out, closed last, edged left flat, stayed on
3rd
Horse silk
11
1
4/1
T: B R MillmanJ: L P Aspell
Chased leaders, went 2nd briefly when mistake 2 out, 3rd and beaten before last, no extra flat op 9/2
4th
Horse silk
18
12
7/2
T: W GreatrexJ: R Johnson
Chased leaders, went 2nd from the 2nd until 3rd, every chance before 2 out, 4th and weakening before last tchd 4/1
5th
Horse silk
14
9
9/1
T: Noel WilliamsJ: Thomas Garner (3)
In rear, not fluent 2nd, remote 8th after 3 out, tailed off op 10/1 tchd 8/1
6th
Horse silk
28
7
150/1
T: Evan WilliamsJ: Conor Ring (3)
Not always fluent, chased clear leader until 2nd, 6th after 3 out, soon weakened, tailed off
7th
Horse silk
15
3
25/1
T: P J HobbsJ: T J O'Brien
Held up towards rear, headway on outside after 4th, 5th after 3 out, soon weakened, tailed off op 33/1
8th
Horse silk
3 ¾
2
33/1
T: A J HoneyballJ: Aidan Coleman
Mid-division, 9th and struggling after 3 out, soon well behind, mistake 2 out, tailed off
9th
Horse silk
38
10
66/1
T: M ScudamoreJ: Benjamin Poste
Mid-division, not fluent 1st, tailed off 11th after 3 out

Also Ran

PU
Horse silk
6
150/1
T: Nick MitchellJ: James Banks
Took keen hold, led and clear, not fluent 2nd, mistake next, headed before 4th, soon weakened, mistake 3 out, pulled up before 2 out
F
Horse silk
8
511-2
25/1
T: P J HobbsJ: M G Nolan
Held up towards rear, headway from 4th, 4th after 3 out, 5th and weakening when fell 2 out op 28/1
PU
Horse silk
11
150/1
T: N P MulhollandJ: P K Donovan (7)
In rear, well behind 10th after 3 out, tailed off, pulled up

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.70Pl:£1.02, £11.70, £1.70EX:£58.60Trifecta:£242.70SF:£53.82Swingers:£18.20, £2.10, £28.90

Forecasts

Molineaux (10/11), Aardwolf (7/2), Champagne Champ (4/1), Samson The Man (9/1), Hardness (25/1), Pyrios (25/1), East Wing (33/1), Le Musee (40/1), Turbotim (66/1), Newquay Cards (150/1), Attractive Liason (150/1), Mr Magill (150/1)

Verdict

On all we know, this looks like Molineaux's to lose but the form of the Colin Tizzard yard means that confidence is tempered somewhat. Instead, the recommendation is a small each-way bet on SAMSON THE MAN, who is progressing nicely and in a race lacking a lot of depth, ought to be able to take a hand in the finish with another small step forward. Aardwolf and Champagne Champ were both useful on the Flat, and preference is for the latter here. He may be able to take third.
  1. Samson The Man
  2. Molineaux
  3. Champagne Champ

Previous Winners

2017
Sir Antony Browne
Weight: 11-2  |Age: 5
5/4

Prize Money

1st: £7,473.002nd: £2,194.003rd: £1,097.004th: £549.00

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