14:10 Warwick

Friday 21 February 2025

All13:1013:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:40

EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Off time: 14:10 | Winning time: 4m 53.87s

Carismatic Soldier⁴⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-8| J: Lewis Saunders⁽⁷⁾| T: O Murphy| OR: 115

7/2

Runner-up sole outing in bumpers and built on hurdling debut promise when off the mark in10-runner novice hurdle at Chepstow (16f, heavy) 47 days ago. Step up in trip bound to suit and open to further improvement.

Form: 2-21

Disco Davis²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-8| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton| OR: 114

3/1

Looked the likeliest winner on first 2 starts over hurdles, going best when falling last at Uttoxeter (19.9f) in October. Finished fifth of 13 in a well-contested race at Exeter in December and didn't need to improve to get off the mark at Lingfield (2m) 3 weeks ago. Remains capable of better.

Form: 3-5FF51

Prophesea³⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-8| J: Bryan Carver| T: C J Down| OR: 120

9/4

Point/bumper winner who has progressed with each start in this sphere, scoring with more than bare margins imply in a 13-runner Wincanton novice (19.8f, soft) in December. Ran at least as well in defeat switched to a handicap at Newbury last time and merits plenty of respect back in novice company.

Form: 1-58313

Absolutely Certain⁷⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Charlie Hammond| T: B R Summers

250/1

Fracas gelding. Dam unraced. Made frame both completed starts in Irish points, pulled up last time (Dec 8).

Form: 44P

Bear Market⁷¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: N de Boinville| T: N J Henderson| BF

2/1

Won sole start in point bumpers and looked an above-average prospect in overcoming prevailing inexperience when following up in an Aintree bumper for Philip Rowley in May. Lost action when pulled up on stable/hurdling bow at Warwick and obviously capable of much better. Had wind op.

Form: 1-1P

Delgany Deadline²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Tristan Durrell⁽³⁾| T: D Skelton

250/1

Looks one for low-grade handicaps after this run.

Form: 06

Marengo Bay⁶⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: David Bass| T: N J Henderson

50/1

Well-bred and in top hands but has shown little in a pair of novice hurdles.

Form: 7P

Tuscany³⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: James Bowen| T: W Greatrex

33/1

Showed more than in a course bumper when fifth of 9 in novice hurdle (33/1) at Hereford (21.7f, good to soft) on hurdles bow 37 days ago. More required to play a leading role.

Form: 95

Non-Runners

Broxy Music⁶³

Weight: 11-2| Age: 5

T: N J Henderson J: Sam Twiston-Davies

Forecasts

Bear Market (2/1), Prophesea (9/4), Disco Davis (3/1), Carismatic Soldier (7/2), Tuscany (33/1), Broxy Music (33/1), Marengo Bay (50/1), Delgany Deadline (250/1), Absolutely Certain (250/1)

DISCO DAVIS seemed to relish the return to front-running tactics when off the mark at Lingfield 3 weeks ago and continues to give the impression there's a bigger performance in him, so he's taken to defy a penalty. Carismatic Soldier still has room for improvement in his jumping but should relish the step up in trip, with Prophesea much respected, also.