14:15 Ffos Las

Tuesday 31 January 2023

All13:0513:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:35

Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

Off time: 14:15 | Winning time: 6m 59.0s

Flowing Cadenza⁴¹

Age: 9| Weight: 12-2| J: Charlie Deutsch| T: Miss V Williams| OR: 107| D

13/8

Shaped well when second at Chepstow on yard debut/return and duly went one better at Hereford last time. Up 8 lb but had plenty in hand there and she's very much one to keep on the right side of.

Form: P167-21

Talktomenow^p³⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 12-2| J: Lucy Gardner| T: Mrs S Gardner| OR: 107

40/1

Dual winner in 2020/21 for Warren Greatrex but has offered little after 21 months off in two runs for his new yard. Needs a big step forward.

Form: 32P2/P7

Bolintlea³⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 12-1| J: Charlie Hammond| T: Dr R D P Newland| OR: 106

17/2

Has taken well to fences and easily landed 7-runner handicap chase at Fakenham (24.2f, good to soft) 30 days ago. Enters calculations despite a 6 lb rise in the weights.

Form: 22-3321

To Be Sure⁷⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 12-0| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR: 105| C| D

22/1

Dual hurdles winner last season but arrives with something to prove having put in a couple of below-par efforts in this sphere this term.

Form: 2414-3P

Wind Tor²⁷

Age: 11| Weight: 11-1| J: Miss Chloe Emsley⁽⁷⁾| T: P Gundry| OR: 92

20/1

Back-to-back handicap chase winner over 3m at Exeter in March but well held 3 starts since, including on recent return. Others appeal more.

Form: 2115-30

Advantura^b³²

Age: 6| Weight: 10-10| J: T J O'Brien| T: P Hobbs & J White| OR: 87| BF

6/1

Improved on hurdling efforts when excellent second of 12 in handicap chase at Taunton (26.3f, good to soft) 32 days ago, travelling strongly. Firmly in the picture despite taking a 8 lb hike in the weights.

Form: 45P2-F2

Twilight Glory^p1,t1⁶⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 10-6| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 83

12/1

Lightly-raced maiden hurdler. Only fifth of 7 in handicap chase here (20.9f, soft) 67 days ago, going in snatches. Up in trip. Tongue strap/cheekpieces are reached for now.

Form: 2446-65

Surdoue De Ballon^b²⁷

Age: 10| Weight: 10-5| J: Ben Godfrey⁽³⁾| T: K Woollacott| OR: 82

12/1

Fairly useful chaser in France, though it's now 27 runs since his sole win in 2019. Much more is required.

Form: 384-346

Bellamy's Grey²¹

Age: 11| Weight: 10-4| J: M G Nolan| T: C J Gray| OR: 81

22/1

Unreliable sort. Posted creditable third of 15 in handicap hurdle at Exeter (21.6f, heavy) 21 days ago but others remain more persuasive.

Form: 31P4-53

Melk Abbey^p1,t⁴¹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-2| J: Rex Dingle| T: A J Honeyball| OR: 78| BF

5/1

Little impact over hurdles but this point winner posted a good second of 10 in handicap chase at Lingfield (22f, heavy) 41 days ago. Cheekpieces on 1st time. Considered.

Form: 1908-U2

Dysania^p⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 10-2| J: Ben Jones| T: P & M Bowen| OR: 69

14/1

Maiden hurdler/chaser but he posted his best run in first-time cheekpieces when third of 10 in handicap chase here (23.8f, soft) 8 days ago. 10 lb out of the handicap though.

Form: 8P0/0-P3

Forecasts

Flowing Cadenza (13/8), Melk Abbey (5/1), Advantura (6/1), Bolintlea (17/2), Twilight Glory (12/1), Surdoue De Ballon (12/1), Dysania (14/1), Wind Tor (20/1), To Be Sure (22/1), Bellamy's Grey (22/1), Talktomenow (40/1)

FLOWING CADENZA is thriving under the expert tutelage of Venetia Williams and an 8 lb rise for her impressive Hereford success doesn't look enough to prevent her from following up. Bolintlea is next on the list on the back of her easy Fakenham victory, although in-form duo Advantura and Melk Abbey can have a say too.