13:40 Chepstow

Thursday 19 August 2021

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2515:5516:25

Happy Birthday Renia Negus Handicap

Off time: 13:42 | Winning time: 1m 9.95s

(11)

Peachey Carnehan^v¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: Faye McManoman⁽³⁾| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 56| CD

9/1

C&D winner. Won 11-runner handicap (9/1) at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Only nudged up 1 lb so should go well again.

Form: 573251

(12)

I'm Watching You^h³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: T E Whelan| T: R Harris| OR: 56| D

12/1

Eleventh of 13 in handicap over C&D (good to firm) 35 days ago but had been third here prior to that.

Form: 664330

(10)

Our Man In Havana¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Mollie Phillips⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 54| CD

16/1

C&D winner. Latest win over 5f here in June. Bit below form fourth of 9 in handicap (8/1) at Brighton (5.3f, good to soft) 13 days ago.

Form: 021894

(3)

Knockabout Queen⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Ryan Tate| T: A W Carroll| OR: 53| D

6/1

Fifteen runs since last win in 2020. 5/1, 5 lengths seventh of 9 to Pastfact in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) 5 days ago.

Form: 37-3257

(6)

La Roca Del Fuego^h⁹^{(ex 5)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Tyler Heard⁽⁵⁾| T: G Deacon| OR: 48| D

5/1

Comfortably notched a second 6f Chelmsford success when pulling 4 lengths clear in a classified event last week. Well treated under penalty if he can translate that form to the grass.

Form: 966131

(2)

Pastfact^p⁵^{(ex 4)}

Age: 7| Weight: 9-5| J: Gina Mangan⁽⁷⁾| T: M S Saunders| OR: 48| CD

4/1

Three-time C&D winner who resumed winning ways in 9-runner handicap (4/1) at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) 5 days ago, always holding on. Carries penalty. Respected.

Form: 664061

(13)

Manumission⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Darragh Keenan| T: P D Evans| OR: 50

16/1

Unreliable individual. First run since leaving Robert Cowell when fifth of 8 in handicap (15/2) at Wolverhampton (5f) 6 days ago.

Form: 373085

(9)

Wiff Waff^p⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: Angus Villiers⁽⁵⁾| T: A Wintle| OR: 50| D

7/1

Twelve runs since last win in 2020. 5/1, creditable 2¼ lengths third of 9 to Pastfact in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) 5 days ago.

Form: 255623

(7)

Willingly^p¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: Owen Lewis⁽⁷⁾| T: M D I Usher| OR: 50| D

11/1

Winner at Yarmouth in June. Good second of 7 in handicap (4/1) at Windsor (6f, soft) 10 days ago, clear of rest. Another to consider.

Form: 066512

(14)

Miracle Garden^p³⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 9-0| J: William Carver⁽³⁾| T: R Brotherton| OR: 47| D

50/1

Fourth of 13 in classified event at Leicester (6f, good, 66/1) 35 days ago. This demands a bit more.

Form: 943654

(5)

Final Deal^p¹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁵⁾| T: M D I Usher| OR: 46

40/1

Remote fourth of 8 in handicap at Windsor (6f, soft, 17/2) 10 days ago. Others are preferred.

Form: 9-74984

(8)

Rhubarb^h,t1⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Callum Hutchinson⁽⁵⁾| T: R J Price| OR: 45

6/1

Good third of 14 in handicap at Nottingham (6f, good to soft, 5/1) 9 days ago. Tongue strap on first time. Enters the reckoning.

Form: 953543

(15)

Fantasy Justifier^p¹²¹

Age: 10| Weight: 8-12| J: A J Farragher⁽⁵⁾| T: R Harris| OR: 45| CD

40/1

Unreliable type but is a 3-time C&D winner. Sixteen runs since last win in 2019. Not seen since a below-form sixth at Wolverhampton (6f) in April.

Form: 98-6476

(4)

Castlerea Tess^p³⁵

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: Sarah Hollinshead| OR: 45| CD

40/1

Unreliable individual. C&D winner in 2019 but has rarely troubled the judge since.

Form: 0-70068

(1)

Jaganory^b²⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 8-12| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽³⁾| T: Mrs N S Evans| OR: 45| C| D

100/1

Course winner. Ninth of 13 in classified event (25/1) at Bath (1m, firm) 29 days ago. Back down in trip. Blinkers back on.

Form: 797969

Forecasts

Pastfact (4/1), La Roca Del Fuego (5/1), Knockabout Queen (6/1), Rhubarb (6/1), Wiff Waff (7/1), Peachey Carnehan (9/1), Willingly (11/1), I'm Watching You (12/1), Manumission (16/1), Our Man In Havana (16/1), Final Deal (40/1), Castlerea Tess (40/1), Fantasy Justifier (40/1), Miracle Garden (50/1), Jaganory (100/1)

A typically wide-open event of its type but LA ROCA DEL FUEGO does look well treated under a penalty if able to confirm last week's AW improvement back on turf. Peachey Carnehan, Pastfact and Mark Usher's Willingly head the dangers.