15:40 Ascot

Saturday 3 October 2020

All13:2013:5514:3015:0515:4016:15

John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3)

(8)

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: J P Spencer| T: K R Burke| OR: 108| D

Stepped up on 2-y-o form to win Group 3 Pavilion Stakes at Newcastle on return. Also a good third in Group 3 at Deauville in July but well below par at Goodwood latest and no easy task under penalty.

Form: 00-1035

(4)

Brando²⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-2| J: T Eaves| T: K A Ryan| OR: 109| D

Has made the frame 3 times in Champions Sprint over C&D. Second to Dubai Station in Pavilion at Newcastle in June shows he's still capable of smart form but not won at pattern level for 2½ years.

Form: 4-52669

(3)

Breathtaking Look^t²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: P Cosgrave| T: S C Williams| OR: 108| D

Second Group 3 win when seeing off 4 rivals at Deauville (6f) in August. Not at best in Doncaster Group 2 latest but she has 2 wins, 2 seconds and a fourth from 5 attempts at Group 3 level.

Form: 924217

(6)

Cape Byron³⁵⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-2| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 113| CD

Flopped in Champions Sprint over C&D on final start last year but has a very good overall track record, including winning this race 12 months ago. Good record fresh. Every chance of a repeat.

Form: 110310-

(7)

Raucous^p,t⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 105| D

Smart gelding who resumed winning ways in small-field Chelsmford conditions event a week ago. Good fourth in this 12 months ago (also third in 2016) but suspicion he'll find a few too strong again.

Form: 314-421

(9)

Snazzy Jazzy^p1³⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox| OR: 107| D

Group 3 winner at Maisons-Laffitte in 2018. Salisbury listed success in June shows he retains all his ability but needs to shrug off a poor run at Newbury in July. Cheekpieces go on for first time.

Form: 19-4235

(2)

The Tin Man²⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-2| J: D Tudhope| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 112| CD

Diamond Jubilee winner over C&D in 2017. Not quite at that level nowadays but his second to Tabdeed in Hackwood at Newbury in July shows he's still very capable at this level.

Form: 720-726

(5)

Tinto^b¹⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: P Mulrennan| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 100| CD

Returned with a career best to land 6f Newmarket handicap in June but has just the one creditable effort to his name since. Not too hard to look elsewhere.

Form: 030056

(1)

Brad The Brief³⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: R Kingscote| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 104| D

Improved again to land 6f Newmarket listed (good to soft) in August but a bigger performance will be required if he's to follow up here.

Form: 11-1391

(10)

Kurious²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: David Probert| T: H Candy| OR: 103

Listed/Group 3 winner at Sandown last summer. Has been banging her head against a wall at Group 1 level this year and this more realistic. All her best runs to date have come at 5f, though.

Form: 011-758

Forecasts

Cape Byron (9/4), The Tin Man (10/3), Brando (8/1), Brad The Brief (8/1), Kurious (10/1), Breathtaking Look (10/1), Snazzy Jazzy (10/1), Dubai Station (12/1), Raucous (12/1), Tinto (33/1)

CAPE BYRON won the Victoria Cup here on his 2019 reappearance so his near 12-month absence isn't too big a concern and he's selected to land this race for the second year in succession. The Tin Man isn't quite as good as he was but showed he can still be a force at this level when second at Newbury in July and he may provide the main threat ahead of Breathtaking Look.