19:30 Southwell

Tuesday 18 February 2020

All17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:00

Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer Classified Stakes

Off time: 19:31 | Winning time: 1m 44.65s

(6)

Daniel Dravot^p³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: A Mullen| T: M J Attwater| OR: 48| CD

12/1

Dropped to this level to win here over C&D on his penultimate start, keeping on well under pressure. An 8lb rise and the return to a handicap found him out last time, so needs to bounce back.

Form: 0098-10

(8)

Going Native^b1¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: Olly Williams| OR: 49| C

7/2

1-29 on AW, having won here (1m4f) in a class 6 handicap last March, when on a mark of 45. Has gone close back here a couple of times since then. Drops in grade, is out of form, and not sure 1m is what he needs.

Form: 283-358

(9)

Lady Carduros^p¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: Jane Elliott| T: M Appleby| OR: 39

12/1

0-10 on AW, where she has so far failed to make the frame. Needs to be much better than on her last three starts, even allowing for this drop in company.

Form: 554-075

(5)

Limerick Lord^b¹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-9| J: Dylan Hogan⁽³⁾| T: Miss J Feilden| OR: 45| CD

7/1

Multiple AW winner, five of them coming here over 7f/1m. Has been back in better form of late, and a repeat of his latest Wolverhampton run would see him very much in the shake-up.

Form: 2590-35

(7)

Maykir^p1⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 44

6/1

0-12 so far, his only placed run coming on AW in a Chelmsford maiden (1m5f) in December. Has been held at this level on his last three starts. Level of form suggests he is not one to write off, especially if cheekpieces help.

Form: 963-857

(10)

Medici Moon¹⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: D C Costello| T: R J Price| OR: 49| CD

11/2

Triple AW winner, two of them over C&D. Inconsistent, but if he was able to produce something close to his best recent efforts, now switched to this class of race, he should go very close.

Form: 3906-96

(4)

Mountain Of Stars^p⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Faye McManoman⁽⁵⁾| T: Suzzanne France| OR: 46

12/1

0-15, but switched to this level last time, he came the closest he has to winning, when 1¼L second over C&D last month. Entitled to consideration after that, but needs to back it up.

Form: 00079-2

(3)

Pageant Master^b1,e/s1,t⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Alistair Rawlinson| T: M Appleby| OR: 48

8/1

Looked like a win was just around the corner when a close second at Newcastle (7f) in October 2018, but has only once come close to that level since. Well beaten on both runs for this trainer. Further new headgear here, but more needed.

Form: 0/9700-0

(1)

Sea Willow^h²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Gabriele Malune⁽³⁾| T: H Spiller| OR: 50

11/1

Has put in a couple of respectable efforts in handicaps so far, both on other AW surfaces over 7f. Has run as if this extra furlong would be ideal for her, and she looks a big player switched to this level.

Form: 9504-4

(2)

Stormy Bay^b1²⁰⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: L Morris| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 50

6/1

Didn't achieve much in five start on turf last spring/summer. Since gelded, and returns from a good break for his AW debut, dropped in grade and now wearing blinkers. Interesting if supported.

Form: 05560-

Forecasts

Going Native (7/2), Medici Moon (11/2), Maykir (6/1), Stormy Bay (6/1), Limerick Lord (7/1), Pageant Master (8/1), Sea Willow (11/1), Lady Carduros (12/1), Mountain Of Stars (12/1), Daniel Dravot (12/1)

Daniel Dravot can't be ruled out because of his latest below par effort in what is a race that shouldn't take much winning. Stormy Bay would be of interest if supported, while Mountain Of Stars, Medici Moon and Limerick Lord are others to consider. However, the vote goes to SEA WILLOW, for whom this step up in trip looks very positive.