16:50 Kempton

Tuesday 4 February 2020

All16:5017:2518:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Wise Betting At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 16:52 | Winning time: 1m 13.29s

(3)

You Don't Own Me^b²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Charles Bishop| T: J Tuite| OR: 67| CD

6/1

Won a C&D handicap from a 4lb lower mark at the start of January; but subsequently well held in a claimer in France and no obvious excuse for that modest effort. Likes this course but career highest mark makes this a stern test.

Form: 3214-16

(5)

Giovanni Tiepolo³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: David Probert| T: H Candy| OR: 65

6/1

Showed improvement last time out and looks a promising recruit now handicapping on a reasonable opening mark. The drop in both class and trip create further hope for a bold show from this unexposed colt; one to seriously consider.

Form: 76-3

(2)

Sir Rodneyredblood¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: A Kirby| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 63| CD

5/2

Made most to win at Lingfield last month and also has decent form at this course to draw upon. An 8lb higher mark might not be insurmountable in this company (had You Don't Own Me over 4L adrift when winning a C&D nursery in November); good chance.

Form: 99193-1

(9)

Lord P⁵^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁵⁾| T: R Hannon| OR: 56| D

10/3

Made a winning start in handicaps when landing a Class 6 sprint (debut run at 6f) at Southwell last week; has a 6lb penalty but holds scope for further progress at this trip. Was well held on his only previous run here but is now more experienced.

Form: 68-51

(1)

Upstage³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Callum Shepherd| T: D M Simcock| OR: 60

25/1

Modest efforts in four previous starts but although well held by You Don't Own Me over C&D last month, she was hampered at a crucial stage that day. Might be more to come and been given a chance from a 2lb lower mark. Dangerous to underestimate.

Form: 088-6

(10)

Broughton Sunpearl^h²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Joey Haynes| T: Tom Clover| OR: 60

50/1

Debut run wasn't devoid of promise but readily brushed aside twice since and needs to improve now tried in a handicap. Her yard is going well just now so would be interesting to note support in the betting.

Form: 30-6

(6)

Funny Little Ways²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: B A Curtis| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 59

6/1

Two starts on turf in Ireland were poor efforts and the filly made little progress in two recent runs on the AW at Dundalk; she has a likeable pedigree and runs for a powerful yard so still has to merit the respect of a betting check at least.

Form: 908-6

(7)

Cliff Wind^v1¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: L Morris| T: Sir Mark Prescott| OR: 57| BF

16/1

Shown potential a couple of times but, as was the case when well backed at Lingfield last month, the filly has left her effort too late to have a major impact. Possible the visor will sharpen her up but no surprise if another furlong might help too.

Form: 679-25

(4)

Chocolaat Heer⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: J Fanning| T: J & S Quinn| OR: 52

14/1

Didn't make much impression in three starts at the back-end of last year and starts off in a handicap on a very lenient mark as a result. She's out of a 1m4f winner, so feasible this is still an inadequate test of stamina; others more convincing.

Form: 098-

(8)

Lady Stark^p1⁹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Darragh Keenan| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 51

50/1

Irish form offers only a glimmer of hope that the filly can exploit her career lowest mark; the return to 6f and fitting of cheekpieces need to drag a lot of improvement from her.

Form: 007678-

Non-Runners

(11)

Star Of St Louis¹⁸

Weight: 8-2| Age: 3

T: D P Quinn J: K T O'Neill

Forecasts

Sir Rodneyredblood (5/2), Lord P (10/3), Funny Little Ways (6/1), Giovanni Tiepolo (6/1), You Don't Own Me (6/1), Chocolaat Heer (14/1), Cliff Wind (16/1), Star Of St Louis (20/1), Upstage (25/1), Broughton Sunpearl (50/1), Lady Stark (50/1)

Handicap debutante Giovanni Tiepolo is an interesting contender and certainly looks one to monitor closely for support in the betting, while Upstage could get closer to You Don't Own Me if granted a clear passage this time. However, SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD has arguably the most reliable form on offer at this stage and is taken to defy a rise in the weights and follow up what was a very comfortable win at Lingfield last month. Lord P has a 6lb penalty to shoulder but appears to be another that is going the right way, so also merits consideration.