13:50 Carlisle
Monday 3 February 2020
All13:5014:2014:5515:2516:0016:30
racingtv.com Novices' Hurdle
- 4YO plus | Class 4 | 2m 1f | Soft | 12 Runners | Turf | Weighed In
- Off time: 13:50 | Winning time: 4m 23.3s
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
Won four times on the Flat for Michael Dods (1m1f-1m4f) earning a BHA handicap mark in the mid 80's; interesting to see if he can translate such a level of form to hurdling on debut for Stuart Coltherd.
Scored twice on the Flat over 1m6f, when with Jim Goldie; 100-1 chance and beaten 26L on hurdles bow in 2m heavy-ground Kelso novice last month finishing fifth of 12. Entitled to build on that outing.
Some promise shown in three bumper starts last year, most recent outing at Sedgefield in December was a poor one however and must leave that behind now going over hurdles for the first time.
Twice shaped well in Ayr bumpers on soft/heavy going in late 2018/early 2019; yet to show much ability in two runs over timber at Wetherby (2m5½f, soft) or Newcastle (2m, soft) more recently and plenty work to do.
Goodwood Flat winner back in August 2017, was attempting to defy an 857-day absence on hurdles bow at Catterick on New Year's Day and never posed a threat having raced in rear. Interesting to see if any market confidence with that run banked.
Tailed off a in a bumper at Newcastle last March on racecourse bow and off since; likely to prove best watched on first attempt over jumps.
Runner-up in a bumper at Hexham on debut in October and twice run well since over hurdles. Form of Wetherby run at Christmas has been advertised since and should be in the firing line now.
Definite promise in three bumper starts for Gordon Elliott, with best effort coming on a sound surface. One to note on hurdles bow for new trainer, though may prefer better ground than is forecast.
Cost €78,000 as a three-year-old, but has proved frustrating and with his third trainer already. Never a threat at Market Rasen (2m2½f, soft) on debut for latest handler last month. Trainer also runs Special Brute.
Improving over timber, landed Wetherby maiden (2m, soft) in November and just denied back there over C&D at Christmas in novice company (third won next time); youngster in this line-up and sets the standard.
Outran 33-1 SP when third of seven in a bumper here in December on debut; that form has been knocked since and likely needs to improve generously for meeting hurdles to get on the board.
Won a Flat handicap on heavy ground here in August; beaten a long way on hurdling bow last month at Musselburgh however and would do well to pick up some prize money in this field.
Forecasts
Goobinator (8/15), Neville's Cross (2/1), Archi's Affaire (8/1), Dora De Janeiro (25/1), Special Brute (28/1), Elite Icon (40/1), Holme Abbey (40/1), Marvellous Joe (66/1), Time For Another (66/1), Elusive Red (66/1), Flood Defence (100/1), Ibn Al Emarat (100/1)
Goobinator sets the standard for the others to aim at. He's the youngster amongst this pack and is clearly improving with his racing. He's set to go off around the even-money mark however and therefore might be worth taking on with NEVILLE'S CROSS. He ran a fine race at Wetherby last time and might have got much closer bar a late error. That form has been advertised since and there should be more to come. Hurdling newcomer Archi's Affaire also merits some inspection.
- Neville's Cross
- Goobinator
- Archi's Affaire
Prize Money
1st: £4,549.002nd: £1,336.003rd: £668.004th: £334.00
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