19:15 Kempton

Saturday 1 February 2020

All16:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

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Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 2m 35.86s

(5)

Never Surrender¹³⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-8| J: Darragh Keenan⁽³⁾| T: J Butler| OR: 76| D

20/1

Won twice for Charlie Hills although not since 2018. Tried over a variety of trips last season although this probably about optimal. Handicap in range if new surroundings pique his interest.

Form: 060268-

(8)

Sarim⁶⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-8| J: Thomas Greatrex⁽³⁾| T: W Greatrex| OR: 76| BF| CD

8/1

C&D winner after a 496-day absence suffered the dreaded bounce when under-par as favourite subsequently here. Ought to bounce back here and could remain well handicapped.

Form: 472/19-

(4)

Rotherwick^b,t⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: David Probert| T: P & O Cole| OR: 75

20/1

Losing run stretches back to June 2018 and considerably more misses than hits of late including laboured run last time. Others preferred.

Form: 3450-30

(3)

Capla Crusader^b1⁶⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: William Carver⁽⁵⁾| T: N P Littmoden| OR: 76| CD

25/1

C&D winner after 319 days off on stable debut but laboured in last of five next five weeks on. May bounce back here and blinkers could assist.

Form: 4425/15-

(1)

Cry Wolf¹²

Age: 7| Weight: 9-6| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 74| D

9/1

Won four times on AW although not here so far. Handicap now below last mark and down in class today but current form shy of what's needed.

Form: 43870-4

(6)

Persian Sun^p,t¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: B A Curtis| T: S C Williams| OR: 72| BF| D

7/2

Beaten just ½L into third on last visit over C&D. 2lb lower today after not staying 2m last time so big chance if he arrives in top form.

Form: 4845-35

(7)

Olympic Conqueror⁶¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Barry McHugh| T: J R Fanshawe| OR: 72| BF

9/4

Heavy ground Redcar winner (1m2f) last autumn but ran two lifeless races afterwards which was most uncharacteristic. Others now preferred.

Form: 223158-

(9)

J Gaye⁷⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: L Morris| T: R T Phillips| OR: 71

10/1

Maiden finished second in last two starts on the Fibresand at Southwell. Relatively unexposed at this stage and not therefore one to rule out here.

Form: 434422-

(10)

Mobham²⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: Lewis Edmunds| T: J R Jenkins| OR: 64

6/1

Long-standing maiden in good order with two seconds and two fourth in last four starts. Always one to look at more from a place perspective until he proves he can win a race.

Form: 07422-4

(2)

Crimson King^b²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 63| BF

6/1

Not the most straightforward hence him remaining a maiden but in good order at present with a series of good runs over a variety of trips. Capable here if 7lb claimer can produce him late.

Form: 9324-23

Forecasts

Olympic Conqueror (9/4), Persian Sun (7/2), Crimson King (6/1), Mobham (6/1), Sarim (8/1), Cry Wolf (9/1), J Gaye (10/1), Rotherwick (20/1), Never Surrender (20/1), Capla Crusader (25/1)

One of life's mysteries; the dreaded bounce was clearly in play latest when SARIM flopped after winning after 16 months off here the time before. He should be able to show more of the form that suggested him one to follow the time before with that out of the way so gets the vote here. One of these days Crimson King will get things right and he again merits maximum respect. Also on the shortlist is Persian Sun who ran really well last time he faced these conditions off a higher mark.