3A's Leisure Super Site At nantyci Carmarthen 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 15:45 | Winning time: 4m 19.9s

Conkwell Legend

Age: 5| Weight: 11-6| J: T Scudamore| T: N P Mulholland

11/1

One of two that the yard run in this (looks the first string); yard only have an 8% strike-rate with bumper newcomers though. Dam placed in staying hurdles; half sister to several winners; from the family of Royal Athlete and West Tip.

Form:

Easy As That

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: G Sheehan| T: Miss V Williams

5/4

Yard look in good form at the moment; 16% strike-rate with bumper debutants. Cost €16,000 as a 3yo; dam point-to-point winner, half-sister to top-class hurdler/very smart chaser Time For Rupert; should enjoy a real test in conditions; shortlisted.

Form:

Fanfaron Dino

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: R P McLernon| T: A J Honeyball

1/1

Yard always to be respected in bumpers; 6-16 this season and 5-23 here overall (2-13 with newcomers). Half-brother to four winners, including smart 2m hurdler Epatante and fairly useful hurdler Tante Sissi; won't be a surprise to see him go close.

Form:

The Weasel

Age: 5| Weight: 11-6| J: R T Dunne| T: N P Mulholland

14/1

Judged on the market/jockey bookings the second string for the yard. By top-class stayer Vinnie Roe (useful jumps sire) out of a Milan mare. Looks one who will appreciate some time and distance; more a long-term prospect.

Form:

Constance De Champ^t1

Age: 5| Weight: 10-13| J: James Bowen| T: Mrs D A Hamer

12/1

The only mare in the field she wears a tongue-tie for her debut. From a yard that are 2-23 with their bumper runners int the last five seasons. Cost £20,000 as a 3yo; dam bumper winner, half-sister to 2m3f/2m7f hurdle winner Supreme Huntress.

Form:

Genepi De Chatay

Age: 3| Weight: 10-7| J: Jack Tudor⁽⁷⁾| T: Christian Williams

22/1

The only 3yo in the field his yard could be in better form and have yet to have a bumper winner this season (0-5, 2-23 last five seasons). Dam raced twice on the Flat in France; this may prove too much of a test at his age given the conditions.

Form:

Forecasts

Fanfaron Dino (1/1), Easy As That (5/4), Conkwell Legend (11/1), Constance De Champ (12/1), The Weasel (14/1), Genepi De Chatay (22/1)

Nothing available in form terms so it’s a mixture of bumper statistics and the information gleaned from the market that will shape the analysis and opinions here. Given his pedigree and the record of his stable in bumpers Fanfaron Dino must be respected although they are 0-4 in bumpers at this track in 2019 with their last two runners bumper runners beaten at 6-4 and 5-4. Therefore it might pay to seek out another option with EASY AS THAT from the family of Time For Rupert and the in-form Venetia Williams yard taken as a more appealing option at the likely prices. Of the two Mulholland runners Conkwell Legend looks the pick and edges his stablemate The Weasel for the minor placing.