12:30 Market Rasen

Thursday 5 December 2019

All12:0012:3013:0513:4014:1514:5015:25

Best Odds Guaranteed At MansionBet Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 4f 139y  |   Soft  |   10 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 12:31  |   Winning time: 5m 42.7s
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The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
Smith's Bay174
Age: 6|  Weight: 11-4| J: Thomas Bellamy| T: A King| OR:  125| BF
3/1
One of the more experienced types in this he's already a bumper and hurdles winner taking a 2m3f novice at Warwick in May. Far from discredited when beaten at odds-on at Aintree on his most recent outing, one of the leading hopes despite his absence.
2
Horse silk
Winningseverything42
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-4| J: R Johnson| T: H Fry| C
1/4
An impressive winner on his hurdling debut having won a bumper on his initial effort in that sphere he comes here under a penalty. Looks an exciting prospect judged on his last performance especially as his yard has yet to fire this season.
3
Horse silk
Cronins Hill73
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: Sean Quinlan| T: J Candlish
12/1
Took eight attempts to get off the mark in Irish point-to-points and offered something to work on over hurdles at Warwick on his debut. May just have needed that race (travelled well) and may do better with his new yard.
Winning Irish point-to-pointer (at fifth attempt) who should have his Rules debut ignored as the saddle slipped prior to him being asked for an effort at Lingfield. His previous form suggests that he will need to show more here though.
5
Horse silk
Forewarning19
Age: 5|  Weight: 10-12| J: Henry Brooke| T: Julia Brooke
8/1
Fair sort on the Flat winning for this yard at Pontefract in August over a staying trip (2m1f), continued to run well in that sphere after that. Thrown in at the deep end for his hurdles debut (race not run to suit either), this is more suitable.
6
Horse silk
Robsam46
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: Patrick Cowley(5)| T: M Keighley
66/1
Both of his two bumper outings have shown a little ability but they have also underlined the need for some time and greater distances before he will be seen at his best. Best watched for now whilst he gains some much needed experience.
7
Horse silk
100/1
Third in a point-to-point bumper in the spring he failed to inspire on his hurdling debut (pulled up) at Huntingdon last month. Comes from a fair jumping family but hard to fashion a case for him here.
8
Horse silk
Strategic67
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-12| J: R D Day| T: M E Sowersby
100/1
Half-brother to three winners, one a winner over hurdles but not really expected to show much here given his modest Flat form for a couple of yards the most recent being Eric Alston. Ran poorly last time, cost just £800 in October.
9
Horse silk
12/1
Half-brother to useful chaser The Kings Writ; dam unraced half-sister to useful chaser Out The Black. Hurdles newcomer having cost £14,000 as a 3yo; hard to see him making much of an impact with his lack of experience.
10
Horse silk
April Rising414
Age: 4|  Weight: 10-5| J: Ross Chapman| T: S A Harris
100/1
Back from a fair absence having shown very little on the Flat when with David Griffiths, running for that yard on five occasions. Only raced at up to 1m1f so stamina is a doubt, hard to make any real case for her chance on hurdles debut.

Non-Runners

11
Horse silk
Sweetest Smile47
Weight: 10-5|  Age: 4
T: M E Sowersby  J: Lorcan Murtagh
NR

Forecasts

Winningseverything (1/4), Smith's Bay (3/1), Forewarning (8/1), Cronins Hill (12/1), What'llbewillbe (12/1), Sweetest Smile (50/1), Robsam (66/1), Dandy Times (66/1), Rumble B (100/1), April Rising (100/1), Strategic (100/1)

Verdict

Although the Harry Fry stable haven’t been in the best of form this year WINNINGSEVERYTHING would have provided a bright spot with his Southwell victory when stepping up in distance looking a class act and handling the testing conditions well. The other penalised runner Smith’s Bay looks to be the main danger despite a fair absence the form of his Warwick win reads well in the context of this race. There isn’t much depth to the contest after those two although Forewarning will find the waters here a little calmer than on his hurdling debut with his Flat form entitling him to some respect.
  1. Winningseverything
  2. Smith's Bay
  3. Forewarning

Prize Money

1st: £4,549.002nd: £1,336.003rd: £668.004th: £334.00

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