13:30 Newcastle Sat 30 November 2019

  • Avison Young Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap) (Class 3)
  • 2m 7f 91y, Heavy
  • 8 Runners
  • Winner£7,083.002nd£2,080.003rd£1,040.004th£520.005th£350.006th£350.007th£350.008th£350.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:6m 31.9sOff time:13:32:44
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2
611-6OR: 129C
5/1

Easy winner over hurdles here (2m6f, good to soft) in March, although is possibly flattered by that bare form - the odds-on favourite flopped; stayed on past beaten horses over 2m3f on chasing debut at Ascot (fifth to Doctor Dex).

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3
711-6OR: 129
6/1

Capable hurdler with a mixed record over fences (form figures of UFU are off-putting); kept on in vain pursuit of the emphatic winner Well Above Par at Kelso (2m5½f, heavy) three weeks ago; tackles a new trip.

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4
511-4OR: 127D
10/1

On a sharp upward curve since winning over hurdles at Bangor (2m7f, good) in August, successfully mixing chasing with hurdling; game winner of a CJ's handicap hurdle at Kelso (2m5f) latest; 5lb higher reverting to the larger obstacles.

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5
710-13OR: 122C
7/2

Effective in testing conditions; possessed a degree of ability over hurdles (& in bumpers), landing the odds with ears pricked here (2m6f) in March; beaten 4L (fourth) by Two For Gold on chasing debut at Carlisle (2m4f, soft) - holds Hill Sixteen.

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6
610-13OR: 122
7/1

Maiden (0-23); narrowly beaten (third) by Ask Ben in the French Furze Novices' Hurdle on this card in 2018; 2lb higher than when finishing second to La Cavsa Nostra at Sedgefield (3m2½f, soft) 16 days ago; really deserves to win a race.

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7
810-11OR: 120
50/1

120-rated hurdler (3-29); has been ridden with plenty of confidence (arguably set too much to do) by Alison Clarke on all three starts over fences (223); shouldn't trouble Lord Du Mesnil on the evidence of recent Sedgefield form.

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8
610-9OR: 118
11/4

Cost £100,000 in April 2018; showed some ability over hurdles, winning at Carlisle (2m3½f, good to soft) in February but lacks a definite change of gear (slow); is easing in the weights and stable in better form than previously; 0-2 over fences.

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9
810-9OR: 118BF
8/1

Bred for chasing as a brother to the 4m stayer Knockanrawley but 0-5 so far; left behind at the business end of the race (favourite) on seasonal reappearance at Carlisle (3m2f); finished 26¾L third to Polydora in this race last year.

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Non-Runners

1
River Frost9
711-8OR: 131
T: B HaslamJ: A P Cawley

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
Polydora611-415/8
T: Tom LaceyJ: Alan Johns

Betting

Forecast

Hill Sixteen (11/4), Sam's Adventure (7/2), River Frost (4/1), Jammy George (5/1), Slanelough (6/1), Lord Du Mesnil (7/1), Donna's Delight (8/1), Murphy's Law (10/1), Cairnshill (50/1)

Verdict

Murphy's Law has enjoyed a productive few months (hurdles and fences) but he faces his sternest test from a revised mark in a competitive looking affair. Jammy George returns to the scene of his hurdles win tackling a more suitable trip after staying on past beaten horses in a race won by Doctor Dex Ascot (2m3f), while the 23-race maiden Lord Du Mesnil really deserves to find a race eventually. However, the pair to concentrate upon are the in-form River Frost and the heavy ground proven SAM'S ADVENTURE. The selection finished a creditable fourth to the Kim Bailey-trained Two For Gold on chasing debut at Carlisle (2m4f).
  1. Sam's Adventure
  2. River Frost
  3. Murphy's Law

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