18:40 Southwell

Saturday 9 November 2019

All16:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:10

Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap

Off time: 18:47 | Winning time: 1m 13.97s

(3)

Gnaad³⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Joey Haynes| T: A Bailey| OR: 74| C

8/1

Has ability but can be tricky in the stalls. Drops back down in grade which is a positive, but can't be fully trusted until showing less of a temperament. Place claims at best.

Form: 232750

(2)

Rock of Estonia²⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: L Morris| T: M D Squance| OR: 73| C

18/1

Gone off the boil since leaving Charles Hills, and is impossible to fancy after a string of heavy defeats. Never featured in any of his last three starts, and another quiet showing is on the cards.

Form: 227090

(7)

Esprit De Corps^p⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-4| J: B A Curtis| T: T D Barron| OR: 71| D

2/1

Been campaigned over 7f recently. Not beaten far over 7f at Newcastle (7f; standard) last time, and he went close over 7f here last month. Modest strike rate, but could grab a place given his consistency.

Form: 555426

(4)

Poeta Brasileiro^t⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁵⁾| T: D H Brown| OR: 67| BF| CD

9/4

Just failed to make the frame at Chelmsford (6f; standard) at the start of the month when fourth. Had previously won over C&D in comfortable fashion, and arrives here with solid claims when in such good form.

Form: 532314

(5)

Liamba^v¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Cam Hardie| T: D O'Meara| OR: 67| CD

6/1

More like it when placed over C&D recently. Only 4lb above last winning mark which came when she hosed up over C&D in May. Has to have a chance dropped back down into a class 5.

Form: 221773

(6)

Mama Africa^p³³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: J L Flint| OR: 67| C

33/1

Won over 1m here earlier in the season, and after a string of underwhelming efforts, she hinted at a return to form when sixth at Windsor (6f; soft) recently. Needs to build on that however.

Form: 510606

(1)

Rose Marmara^p,t¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: Connor Murtagh⁽³⁾| T: B Rothwell| OR: 66| D

33/1

Consistent run came to an end when he finished seventh over 5f at this track last month. Steps back up to 6f now, but losing run is beginning to mount up and others have far more pressing claims.

Form: 625227

(10)

Amor Fati¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-11| J: Laura Pearson⁽⁷⁾| T: P D Evans| OR: 64

16/1

In good form earlier in the season, but things have gone awry recently. Drops back in trip to 6f for the first time after a string of highly disappointing efforts. Has finished last on each of his previous two starts so can't be recommended.

Form: 235600

(9)

Ower Fly^v1⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 8-10| J: J P Sullivan| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 63| D

10/1

Mark has slid 27lb below his last winning one which came back in July 2018. Drop in class to this grade hasn't worked of late, and he remains best watched for the time being. Fitted with a visor for the first time.

Form: 508705

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to board prices only - deduction 5p in the pound

Non-Runners

(8)

Rolladice¹⁹

Weight: 9-4| Age: 4

T: M & D Easterby J: G C O'Neill

Forecasts

Esprit De Corps (2/1), Poeta Brasileiro (9/4), Liamba (6/1), Gnaad (8/1), Ower Fly (10/1), Rolladice (10/1), Amor Fati (16/1), Rock of Estonia (18/1), Rose Marmara (33/1), Mama Africa (33/1)

Consistency is a hard quality to find among many of these. Esprit De Corps is 1-29, and has never won on the AW, but tends to run consistently well without being successful. He went very close over 7f here in October, and ran better than his finishing position would suggest when sixth at Newcastle at the start of the month. Also in the mix is Poeta Brasileiro whose good run of form took a slight knock when he missed out on the placings at Chelmsford. However, he won over C&D prior to that and has solid claims. However, the selection is LIAMBA who was a facile scorer over C&D in May, & hinted at a return to form when third in a better contest here recently.