14:20 Leicester

Tuesday 8 October 2019

All13:5014:2014:5515:2516:0016:3517:0517:35

Stoat Selling Stakes

Off time: 14:20 | Winning time: 2m 22.31s

(11)

Lieutenant Conde^t,v1³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: R Havlin| T: H Morrison| OR: 62

8/1

Won AW handicap (1m1½f) from today's mark in May. Well held in all three starts since, including after wind surgery and in a tongue-tie last time. Bit to prove, including ability to handle testing ground, but new headgear may help.

Form: 441588

(1)

Bonneville^b²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: P Mulrennan| T: B R Millman| OR: 50

9/1

Second in successive handicaps at Lingfield (1m2f, AW), Southwell (1m4f, AW) and then Salisbury (1m4f, good to firm, BHA mark 52) in the spring. Form dipped, but step back in right direction last time and has frame claims if handling heavy.

Form: 236073

(5)

Cinzento^p1,t1²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: K Stott| T: S C Williams| OR: 44

13/2

Well held in all five starts, being beaten 11½L from a mark of just 48 last time in a Chelmsford handicap (1m5½f). Drops back in trip and headgear now fitted, but only of interest if market vibes strong.

Form: 98676

(4)

Goodwood Sonnet^v³¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: K Shoemark| T: W J Knight| OR: 49| BF

5/1

Has run well from higher marks in handicaps on several occasions, without winning. Badly out of sorts last time, but couldn't rule him out of the frame if bouncing back now dropped in grade.

Form: 004258

(6)

Inceyquincyspider⁶⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Sean Kirrane⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss J Feilden

33/1

Ran out in a hurdle when with Graeme McPherson, his only public appearance so far. Not hugely encouraging that his first run for this trainer is in a seller. Can only watch.

Form:

(7)

Keith³⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Megan Nicholls⁽³⁾| T: B R Millman| OR: 45

11/1

Yet to show much on the racecourse. Appeared to handle soft okay on his only try. This is his second start after wind surgery, so may be able to show more, but it takes a leap of faith to side with him now dropped in grade.

Form: 0-66058

(2)

Lord Howard^v1²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: M R Channon| OR: 46

13/2

Well held in all four starts so far, the last two in sellers. Visor now tried (wore cheekpieces at Chepstow last time). Market support would pique interest, but otherwise probably one to watch.

Form: 0-666

(10)

Max Guevara^b1¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Pierre-Louis Jamin⁽⁷⁾| T: W R Muir| OR: 53

6/1

1-19, having won over 1m at Ffos Las (good) 13-months ago, when 8lb higher. Has not been able to add another win this season, but several handicap efforts give him an excellent chance at these weights. Goes well on soft. Blinkers fitted. Claims.

Form: 946650

(3)

Risk Mitigation²⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: C Lee| T: P D Evans| OR: 50

3/1

Was runner-up in a similar event here over C&D (heavy) in July. Placed in a Chepstow handicap from a mark of 53 since then. Has to put a poor effort last time out behind him, and not ruled out if he can.

Form: 582437

(8)

Lady Muk^p⁴⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: George Wood| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 53

33/1

Showed some promise on her second start at Carlisle (1m1f, good to soft; first-time cheekpieces) in June. Well beaten both starts since, including handicap debut latest. Concern that she drops straight into this grade and has it to prove on heavy.

Form: 9407

(9)

Little Tipple^p,t1⁶⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 8-7| J: Laura Pearson⁽⁷⁾| T: J Ryan| OR: 45

22/1

0-16 so far. Can take slight encouragement in the fact that he only placed effort came when third over C&D (heavy) in this grade in July. New headgear tried here, but probably just each-way claims even if back to her best form so far.

Form: 764304

Forecasts

Risk Mitigation (3/1), Goodwood Sonnet (5/1), Max Guevara (6/1), Lord Howard (13/2), Cinzento (13/2), Lieutenant Conde (8/1), Bonneville (9/1), Keith (11/1), Little Tipple (22/1), Lady Muk (33/1), Inceyquincyspider (33/1)

Not many obvious contenders here and the vote goes to MAX GUEVARA, whose solid handicap form looks good in the context of this race. Lieutenant Conde could prove a threat from the head of the weights, but has it to prove on heavy ground, and the same applies to Bonneville. Goodwood Sonnet and Risk Mitigation also make minor appeal.