14:00 Warwick

Thursday 3 October 2019

All14:0014:3515:0515:4016:1016:4517:20

Bet At racingtv.com 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 14:03 | Winning time: 3m 52.30s

Arrivederci²²³

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.⁽³⁾| T: J & A O'Neill| D

13/8

Has an appealing pedigree (from a good French jumps family); plenty to admire about his debut bumper win at Hereford late last year (travelled well). Below-par under a penalty when last seen; respected now that he goes hurdling off a break.

Form: 14-

Chance A Tune³⁰¹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Sam Twiston-Davies| T: N & W Twiston-Davies

4/1

Yard in good form at the moment especially with horses off a break. Bred more for stamina than speed but made an encouraging start to his career in a junior bumper late last year at Wetherby. Interesting if the market speaks positively for him.

Form: 2-

Clondaw Sam¹⁴⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 10-12| J: Tabitha Worsley⁽⁵⁾| T: R DickinWS

100/1

Half-brother to three winners but showed little in point-to-points and didn't show any upturn in his performance when a 100-1 shot over hurdles on debut over C&D. Had a wind operation since that outing; would need to make major progress.

Form: 6P-P

Milan's Society¹⁸⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton

14/1

One of two that this leading yard run in this so he has to be respected on his debut despite being pulled up on his only Irish point-to-point start. Closely related to fair chaser Thegreendalerocket; worthy of a market check given connections.

Form: P-

Shelfield¹⁹⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Bridget Andrews| T: D SkeltonWS

40/1

Gelded and given a wind op since he was last seen having so far been disappointing in two starts in a bumper and finishing last in a novice hurdle. Pulled too hard last time (needs to settle better); hard to recommend on what he's shown so far.

Form: 86-

Tea Clipper²²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: R Johnson| T: T Lacey

11/8

Interesting newcomer having won by 6L on his sole point-to-point start at Larkhill. Related to some decent jumpers, including fairly useful hurdler Mormon; trainer has a good record with this sort, likely to be of interest, well worth a market check.

Form: 1-

Vinnie Rouge¹⁷⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 10-12| J: Philip Donovan⁽⁷⁾| T: N P Mulholland

100/1

Well held on his only start in bumpers there's been no progression since he's turned to hurdling with all four starts being poor at best. Brother to a useful hurdler/chaser Claret Cloak; may do better in low-grade handicaps.

Form: 9070P-

Non-Runners

Golden Taipan¹

Weight: 11-4| Age: 5

T: F O'Brien J: P J Brennan

Forecasts

Tea Clipper (11/8), Arrivederci (13/8), Golden Taipan (15/8), Chance A Tune (4/1), Milan's Society (14/1), Shelfield (40/1), Vinnie Rouge (100/1), Clondaw Sam (100/1)

Even with the assumed absence of Golden Taipan who was a 2L winner at Huntingdon yesterday afternoon this is an interesting contest. Arrivederci shaped with plenty of promise in bumpers last season despite a defeat on his second start his pedigree for jumping makes him of interest now that he tackles hurdles for the first time. Chance A Tune is another hurdling newcomer of note although the suspicion is that he’ll need a stiffer test of stamina than this 2m will provide. Milan’s Society given his connections ought to be better than he’s shown so far but it’s Larkhill point-to-point winner TEA CLIPPER who makes the most appeal on his first try over hurdles.