18:25 Newcastle

Wednesday 2 October 2019

All17:5518:2518:5519:2519:5520:25

Valued Accountancy Apprentice Handicap

Off time: 18:25 | Winning time: 1m 27.41s

(7)

Tadaawol^p¹⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 10-0| J: Paula Muir| T: R Fell & S Murray| OR: 76| C| D

11/2

Course winner here in the past. Bounced back to some sort of form with respectable third of eight at Redcar (7f, good to firm) last month. Claims back down in class.

Form: 486403

(3)

Harvest Day^t¹⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-12| J: G C O'Neill| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 74| CD

3/1

C&D winner last season. Got the run of the race but posted a career-best when winning 1m Thirsk handicap in September. Has a 3lb rise to contend with but the one to beat in weak-looking contest.

Form: 333621

(1)

Ower Fly³⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-12| J: Jane Elliott| T: Mrs R Carr| OR: 74| D

28/1

Losing streak now stands at 11 since last victory and showed no signs of that changing when last of eight in 1m Catterick handicap on latest start. Makes AW debut with a bit to prove.

Form: 076508

(5)

Blindingly^p⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Harry Russell⁽³⁾| T: B Haslam| OR: 73| BF| CD

6/4

Game winner over C&D on penultimate start but was found slightly wanting off revised mark when 5L third at Ripon (6f) four days ago. Stiffer test will suit better however.

Form: 703113

(2)

Lucky Lodge^v¹²

Age: 9| Weight: 9-5| J: Kieran Schofield⁽³⁾| T: A Brittain| OR: 67| C| D

12/1

Course winner in the past but didn't fire when ninth in C&D handicap behind Blindingly last time out. Bit to find on ratings with that rival and visor returns.

Form: 725439

(6)

Smugglers Creek^p¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: Connor Murtagh| T: I Jardine| OR: 67| CD

16/1

C&D winner whose last win came at Carlisle in May. Not beaten far when eighth in 7f Thirsk handicap just over two weeks ago when forced to set a strong gallop. More needed but this is an easier contest.

Form: 107208

(4)

Kentuckyconnection¹⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: Ben Sanderson| T: B Smart| OR: 65| C| D

11/1

Has shown good form in the past but bombed out when last of 13 here (1m) eight days ago. Quick turnaround and needs to leave that run behind. Still above last winning mark.

Form: 756560

(8)

Staplegrove⁹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Stefano Cherchi⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 60

66/1

Very little to cheer about in nine starts and latest tenth of 11 at Doncaster (7f) suggests he won't shed his maiden tag anytime soon. First run since leaving Phillip Kirby.

Form: 004800

Forecasts

Blindingly (6/4), Harvest Day (3/1), Tadaawol (11/2), Kentuckyconnection (11/1), Lucky Lodge (12/1), Smugglers Creek (16/1), Ower Fly (28/1), Staplegrove (66/1)

HARVEST DAY has shown a liking for the track in the past and bounced back from some average efforts to win well at Thirsk when she wasn't entirely guaranteed to stay. In a good bit of placing by her trainer, her 3lb rise in the weights doesn't look bad given the form of her rivals and she is feared. Tadaawol has been competing in higher grades recently and showed sparkles of his old form last time. He's being given a chance by the handicapper and is well-weighted. The likes of Blindingly and Smugglers Creek need to bounce back on their recent efforts but usually save their best for the stiff set this course offers.