20:35 Newcastle

Thursday 8 August 2019

All17:3018:0018:3019:0519:3520:0520:35

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Off time: 20:41 | Winning time: 1m 13.03s

(13)

Ticks The Boxes²⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-8| J: B A Curtis| T: B Ellison| OR: 56| CD

3/1

C&D winner (for Michael Herrington); in decent form earlier this year (5f-7f); below par since finishing runner-up to Tricky Dicky at Pontefract (6f, soft) in June; comes with risks attached.

Form: 133290

(11)

Roaring Rory⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-7| J: Harrison Shaw⁽⁵⁾| T: Ollie Pears| OR: 55| CD

4/1

4lb lower than when beating stablemate Kroy by a head over C&D last November; mixed fortunes on turf more latterly, although did turn in a solid effort (fourth) at Redcar last week; respected in this contest.

Form: 463084

(10)

Tarnhelm³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Isobel Francis⁽⁷⁾| T: W Storey| OR: 54| D

13/2

Has shown all of her best form at Carlisle (6f), climbing in the weights since landing back-to-back handicaps there in July; slowly away (a regular trait) and that did for her winning chances there on Monday (fourth to Redrosezorro).

Form: 061104

(3)

Patrick¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 9-6| J: D Nolan| T: P T Midgley| OR: 54| D

8/1

Has tumbled 21lb in the weights since joining Paul Midgley and hasn't won anywhere since scoring at Dundalk (6f) in February 2017; showed more promise at Ayr (6f) 17 days ago and shouldn't be written off just yet.

Form: 45-8659

(12)

The Bull^p²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: A Mullen| T: B Haslam| OR: 54| C

11/2

4lb higher than when a ½L winner over 5f here in November (form isn't overly strong); consistent on turf in 2019, albeit was beaten just over 3L by a well-treated Tarnhelm at Carlisle (6f) on his most recent start.

Form: 1-66324

(2)

Astraea^b³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby| OR: 53| C

18/1

Competes off the same mark as when making all to beat Another Angel by a comfortable 3½L here (5f) in December; essentially poor since; often dwells and did exactly that at Carlisle on Monday.

Form: 670400

(4)

Breathoffreshair^p,t⁴⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: Philip Prince| T: R C Guest| OR: 50| CD

20/1

Course specialist (all four wins have come here); sits near his last winning mark but hasn't shown a great deal of positive form lately; could be one to keep an eye upon for later in the winter (i.e November).

Form: 777078

(1)

Ascot Dreamer¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: P Mulrennan| T: D H Brown| OR: 53| D

20/1

Won at Redcar in April (6f, good to firm) and ran with credit on her next three starts, but has lost her way subsequently with no sign of a recovery at Catterick latest; no issues with artificial surfaces.

Form: 424000

(14)

Prince of Time⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-1| J: Cam Hardie| T: Mrs Stella Barclay| OR: 49

18/1

Beaten a head (40-1) by today's rival Tarnhelm (The Bull fourth) at Carlisle in July; just about back to that level when fifth on Tapeta at Wolverhampton (6f) last week; wouldn't be out the reckoning for a place.

Form: 7-89295

(6)

Ingleby Molly^h⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: C J McGovern⁽³⁾| T: J Ward| OR: 49| D

12/1

With David O'Meara when getting off the mark at Wolverhampton (6f) last July, so that shows she's capable on her day; unconvincing since joining this trainer (0-5); stablemate of Thornaby Princess.

Form: 6-88047

(9)

Thornaby Princess^p¹⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 8-12| J: Connor Murtagh⁽³⁾| T: J Ward| OR: 45| D

100/1

Almost three years since her last success and she has not really been revived by a switch of stable this year (trainer also saddles Ingleby Molly); 0-6 on the AW; if she does spring back to life it'll be at her favoured Musselburgh.

Form: 494-670

(5)

Killer Queen^p1¹⁴⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 8-12| J: Phil Dennis| T: D C Griffiths| OR: 45

66/1

Poor form to date and sports first-time cheekpieces on handicap debut; no reason to anticipate an improved effort despite having a lofty price tag as a foal (60,000gns).

Form: 670

(8)

Princess Apollo^v1⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 8-12| J: Jason Hart| T: D W Whillans| OR: 45

40/1

Went forward early over 6f at Redcar (good) last week but a tame finishing effort saw her back-peddling at the climax of that race; now a nine-race maiden who wears a visor for the first time and that's hardly a ringing endorsement.

Form: 99-0009

(7)

Opera Kiss²²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Shane Gray| T: L A Mullaney| OR: 45

50/1

Of limited ability; there were some very minor positives to be taken from her most recent start (6f, Yarmouth) but not anywhere near enough to make her of interest for the future; an unlikely winner.

Form: 95006

Forecasts

Ticks The Boxes (3/1), Roaring Rory (4/1), The Bull (11/2), Tarnhelm (13/2), Patrick (8/1), Ingleby Molly (12/1), Prince of Time (18/1), Astraea (18/1), Ascot Dreamer (20/1), Breathoffreshair (20/1), Princess Apollo (40/1), Opera Kiss (50/1), Killer Queen (66/1), Thornaby Princess (100/1)

It's relatively simple to draw a line through the chances of the vast majority with the Carlisle form line featuring Tarnhelm, Prince Of Time and The Bull as good a starting point as any. The winner has climbed the weights since that particular contest but ought to be able to confirm those placings with an even start (dwelt at Carlisle on Monday). However, the selection is the Ollie Pears-trained ROARING RORY who tends to put his best foot forward on Tapeta at Newcastle. He is handily weighted on last November's C&D evidence, even more so with 5lb claimer Harrison Shaw in the saddle.