17:45 Stratford

Friday 31 May 2019

All17:4518:2018:5019:2019:5020:2020:50

Llewellyn Humphreys 'Restricted Point-To-Point' (Novices' Hunters' Chase)

Off time: 17:46 | Winning time: 5m 37.80s

Earth Leader^h,t¹⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-13| J: Bryan Carver⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs R Loxton| OR: 117

8/11

Has steadily improved between the flags this year and his success in a Fontwell hunter chase made it four wins in a row. Has a leading rider on board and sets a high standard.

Form: 3311-11

An Scairp¹²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-10| J: Jack Andrews⁽³⁾| T: Mrs H Mahon

12/1

Has won two of his last three point-to-points and only found the useful Abricot De L'Oasis a neck too good in the other. Rates a threat on that form.

Form: 91/71-21

Buck Dancing^t⁵

Age: 10| Weight: 11-10| J: Miss J I Bedi⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss J Bedi| OR: 100

14/1

Disappointing favourite in Hexham's Heart Of All England but has won his two point-to-points since. Form looks just below the standard required and he needs to learn to jump regulation fences better.

Form: U12-711

Castle Cheetah²⁶

Age: 11| Weight: 11-10| J: Alice Stevens⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss E Alvis| OR: 112

16/1

Landed a 2m4f Restricted at Cold Harbour earlier in the month. That form is not good enough and he failed to complete his three previous starts.

Form: 25F/PP-1

Chapelier²⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 11-10| J: Mr Richard Collinson⁽⁷⁾| T: A Pennock| OR: 100

33/1

Picked up four uncompetitive races in a row between the flags before struggling in a Cheltenham hunter chase four weeks ago. Faces a stiff task here.

Form: P1111-P

General Arrow⁵⁵⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-10| J: Miss Gina Andrews| T: T Ellis

7/2

Represents a good local yard and top amateur. Has improved with every run this year and completed his hat-trick when beating one other finisher at Edgcote. Will need to improve, but that has to be considered possible.

Form: P/

Pancrace^p1²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 11-10| J: Mr James King| T: Mrs Teresa Clark

16/1

Mixed form between the flags this year and poor on his sole hunter chase outing. Has a leading amateur on board but others look more persuasive.

Form: 21P3-61

Kayjaydee¹⁹

Age: 12| Weight: 11-3| J: Tom Broughton⁽⁷⁾| T: P E Broughton

50/1

Landed a Restricted at Garthorpe two weeks ago to take her point-to-point record to 2-16. Out of her depth in this company.

Form: 923/P-21

Tangoed¹²

Age: 6| Weight: 11-3| J: Nathan Rahman⁽⁷⁾| T: R Varnham| OR: 84

22/1

Has landed her last two point-to-points but they were weak contests. Taking on some leading novices here and she has significant improvement to find.

Form: 00/9U1-1

Non-Runners

Cheltenam De Vaige¹⁹

Weight: 11-10| Age: 7

T: Sally Randell J: Miss Hannah Lewis

Soul Kaliber¹⁹

Weight: 11-10| Age: 9

T: D Summersby J: Mr D Edwards

Forecasts

Earth Leader (8/11), General Arrow (7/2), Soul Kaliber (10/1), Cheltenam De Vaige (10/1), An Scairp (12/1), Buck Dancing (14/1), Castle Cheetah (16/1), Pancrace (16/1), Tangoed (22/1), Chapelier (33/1), Kayjaydee (50/1)

EARTH LEADER is one the top novice point-to-pointers and has proven himself over regulation fences. With leading amateur Bryan Carver booked to ride he is hard to oppose. Gina Andrews is on board the progressive General Arrow who may not be far off the required standard, a remark which also applies to Cheltenham De Vaige. The biggest threat may come from An Scairp who has solid point-to-point form and has the services of a leading amateur.