18:45 Kempton Fri 12 April 2019

  • 32Red.com Handicap (Class 4)
  • 6f, Standard / Slow
  • 10 Runners
  • Winner£6,469.002nd£1,925.003rd£962.004th£481.005th£400.006th£400.007th£400.008th£400.00
  • Surface: Polytrack
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 13.38sOff time:18:45:44
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(5)
39-7OR: 85D
66/1

Well below previous form when last of five in 7f Lingfield contest in December, his last start for James Tate. Possesses plenty pace, ensuring drop in trip looks positive starting for new trainer.

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2
(10)
39-6OR: 84CD
14/1

Has already run 17 times, winning twice on the AW and being placed plenty of times. Thoroughly exposed and needs more to turn around recent C&D form with Probability. Should give his running.

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4
(9)
39-4OR: 82D
20/1

Wolverhampton nursery winner in September and ran well enough over this C&D on final start last year, being caught a bit too far back before running on for third. Back from a break and needs a second look.

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5
(2)
39-4OR: 82D
15/8

1-3 last year and finished second over C&D when last spotted (winner won a Listed race next time). Quite well thought of and booking James Doyle suggests he'll be ready to go on handicap debut after a break.

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6
(4)
39-4OR: 82CD
7/1

3-4 starts of late, including career-best when bossing things from the front over C&D latest. Drawn to attack again and we've not yet seen the best of him; respected.

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7
(6)
39-3OR: 81
12/1

2-4 in AW handicaps last year, both successes coming over 5f at Chelmsford and Lingfield. Just pipped over C&D in first-time cheekpieces (discarded) when last spotted in December. 4lb higher on return to action.

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8
(1)
39-1OR: 79
10/1

Novice winner on turf last summer at Brighton (5½f, good to firm). Well held thereafter and not truly seeing out this 6f trip, high enough in ratings for return.

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9
(7)
39-1OR: 79D
11/4

Son of Havana Gold who cost 190,000gns as a yearling. Progressing in three starts, latest when justifying cramped odds to win Wolverhampton novice over this trip on return to action 15 days ago. Must come forward again on handicap bow.

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10
(3)
38-13OR: 77CD
7/1

Won a C&D novice event last year in gutsy fashion, ending the campaign with 2-11 record on turf/AW. Can progress a bit further this season, market should reveal more ahead of comeback.

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12
(8)
38-2OR: 66
33/1

Showed promise in first two starts at Beverley for Jedd O'Keefe but went rapidly backwards in next two on the AW and only minor promise to be had from C&D fifth in February on first outing for this yard.

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Non-Runners

3
(12)
Motagally181
39-4OR: 82
T: C HillsJ: Non Runner
11
(11)
Solar Park13
38-13OR: 77
T: J TateJ: P J McDonald

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
6Airshow38-138/1Full Result
T: B R MillmanJ: Oisin Murphy

Betting

Forecast

Converter (15/8), Mawakib (11/4), Probability (7/1), Tinto (7/1), Motagally (7/1), Thegreatestshowman (10/1), Reticent Angel (12/1), Solar Park (12/1), Uncle Jerry (14/1), Be Like Me (20/1), Under Curfew (33/1), Autumn Splendour (66/1)

Verdict

Having made the step into this grade a winning one 13 days ago, the Archie Watson-trained PROBABILITY has solid claims once more. The filly is thriving and has a good draw here from which to pop out and deploy her trusty front-running tactics. The big danger could be from handicap debutant Mawakib after a pleasing Wolverhampton success recently, though the form of Converter's second over C&D in September is decent and Mick Channon's colt is much-respected.
  1. Probability
  2. Mawakib
  3. Converter

Video Replay

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