18:45 Kempton

Friday 12 April 2019

All16:3517:1017:4018:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

32Red.com Handicap

Off time: 18:45 | Winning time: 1m 13.38s

(5)

Autumn Splendour¹¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: L Morris| T: J M Bradley| OR: 85| D

66/1

Well below previous form when last of five in 7f Lingfield contest in December, his last start for James Tate. Possesses plenty pace, ensuring drop in trip looks positive starting for new trainer.

Form: 193155-

(10)

Uncle Jerry^b¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: George Rooke⁽⁷⁾| T: R Hughes| OR: 84| C| D

14/1

Has already run 17 times, winning twice on the AW and being placed plenty of times. Thoroughly exposed and needs more to turn around recent C&D form with Probability. Should give his running.

Form: 233523

(9)

Be Like Me¹⁷¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Gabriele Malune⁽³⁾| T: M Botti| OR: 82| D

20/1

Wolverhampton nursery winner in September and ran well enough over this C&D on final start last year, being caught a bit too far back before running on for third. Back from a break and needs a second look.

Form: 322413-

(2)

Converter¹⁹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: James Doyle| T: M R Channon| OR: 82| D

15/8

1-3 last year and finished second over C&D when last spotted (winner won a Listed race next time). Quite well thought of and booking James Doyle suggests he'll be ready to go on handicap debut after a break.

Form: 152-

(4)

Probability¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Edward Greatrex| T: A Watson| OR: 82| CD

7/1

3-4 starts of late, including career-best when bossing things from the front over C&D latest. Drawn to attack again and we've not yet seen the best of him; respected.

Form: 0-21311

(6)

Reticent Angel¹¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: A Kirby| T: C G Cox| OR: 81

12/1

2-4 in AW handicaps last year, both successes coming over 5f at Chelmsford and Lingfield. Just pipped over C&D in first-time cheekpieces (discarded) when last spotted in December. 4lb higher on return to action.

Form: 371122-

(1)

Thegreatestshowman²⁰⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: D C Costello| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 79

10/1

Novice winner on turf last summer at Brighton (5½f, good to firm). Well held thereafter and not truly seeing out this 6f trip, high enough in ratings for return.

Form: 410284-

(7)

Mawakib¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian| OR: 79| D

11/4

Son of Havana Gold who cost 190,000gns as a yearling. Progressing in three starts, latest when justifying cramped odds to win Wolverhampton novice over this trip on return to action 15 days ago. Must come forward again on handicap bow.

Form: 43-1

(3)

Tinto¹⁶⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: J Fanning| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 77| CD

7/1

Won a C&D novice event last year in gutsy fashion, ending the campaign with 2-11 record on turf/AW. Can progress a bit further this season, market should reveal more ahead of comeback.

Form: 324616-

(8)

Under Curfew⁶⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-2| J: K T O'Neill| T: A W Carroll| OR: 66

33/1

Showed promise in first two starts at Beverley for Jedd O'Keefe but went rapidly backwards in next two on the AW and only minor promise to be had from C&D fifth in February on first outing for this yard.

Form: 5239-5

Non-Runners

(12)

Motagally¹⁸¹

Weight: 9-4| Age: 3

T: C Hills J: Non Runner

(11)

Solar Park¹³

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: J Tate J: P J McDonald

Forecasts

Converter (15/8), Mawakib (11/4), Probability (7/1), Tinto (7/1), Motagally (7/1), Thegreatestshowman (10/1), Reticent Angel (12/1), Solar Park (12/1), Uncle Jerry (14/1), Be Like Me (20/1), Under Curfew (33/1), Autumn Splendour (66/1)

Having made the step into this grade a winning one 13 days ago, the Archie Watson-trained PROBABILITY has solid claims once more. The filly is thriving and has a good draw here from which to pop out and deploy her trusty front-running tactics. The big danger could be from handicap debutant Mawakib after a pleasing Wolverhampton success recently, though the form of Converter's second over C&D in September is decent and Mick Channon's colt is much-respected.