16:50 Southwell

Tuesday 9 April 2019

All14:2014:5015:2015:5016:2016:5017:25

Toalsbet Live Race Simulator Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 16:50 | Winning time: 3m 56.27s

Cardigan Bay^h,t²⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Aidan Coleman| T: C E Longsdon| OR: 105

15/2

Bumper winner last September, placed in three novice/maiden hurdles this season and might have gone close but for a bad mistake late on at Huntingdon last time. Yard could be in better form, though. Chances all the same.

Form: 510323

Jones Well¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-10| J: Jack Sherwood⁽³⁾| T: O Murphy| OR: 103

40/1

No more than a glimmer of hurdling prowess in three starts but has been tried at a variety of trips/ground already, so hard to pin down what he may be capable of on handicap debut here. Can't be discounted.

Form: 2667

Hattaab¹⁸⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 11-9| J: Mr Jason Dixon⁽⁷⁾| T: Henry Oliver| OR: 102

14/1

No great shakes for Tom George on the Flat but has joined a new yard and might yet improve. Seems to enjoy quick ground, trip may well be a bit on the short side but improvement is possible here.

Form: 5687-80

Texan Nomad^h³⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 11-9| J: Lorcan Williams⁽⁵⁾| T: R Harris| OR: 102

11/1

Latest effort best forgiven, as ground probably against him, and better judged on earlier efforts which would give him every chance here, especially if there's a good pace on early.

Form: 491F65

Nachi Falls⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-7| J: Tom Buckley⁽⁷⁾| T: N J Hawke| OR: 100

6/4

Never the most consistent but back to form at Taunton last week when second in a low-grade handicap, mistake at the last not helping his cause. Chances if in the same form but that's not a given, although still very well handicapped at present.

Form: FP58P2

Blue N Yellow⁸⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 11-5| J: J J Burke| T: T R George| OR: 98| D

8/1

Bumper winner back in 2017 and only seen three times since, noticeably weak in the market at Taunton last time and ran very moderately. Hard to know what ability he retains at present, and others make more appeal.

Form: 1-724

Bob Maxwell¹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: James Nixon⁽⁵⁾| T: R Dickin| OR: 95

33/1

Travelled well at Hereford last time before stamina ran out, but gave the impression there could be a race in him down the line. Yard have struggled all year for winners though, which is a major worry.

Form: 0887

Twycross Warrior¹⁷¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-1| J: C Poste| T: R Dickin| OR: 94

100/1

Going nowhere quickly at present and did no better for the step into handicaps last time, sent off a big price and pulled up. Hard to make any sort of a case for him at present.

Form: 06647/P

Cock A Doodle Doo^t¹⁰⁴

Age: 7| Weight: 11-0| J: Harry Skelton| T: D Skelton| OR: 93| D

5/1

Looking one of the yard's lesser lights, having run very moderately last few starts and is now falling quickly in the handicap. Seems to lack any finishing punch and hard to go overboard about her chances here.

Form: 174679

Dan Gun¹¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Alain Cawley| T: F O'Brien| OR: 93

12/1

Stayed on through beaten horses to finish a never-nearer fifth at Exeter in November but poor on only other start since then and not seen since December. No win or places in 11 starts and others make more appeal.

Form: 500658

Oscar Maguire²²

Age: 6| Weight: 10-11| J: David England| T: O Murphy| OR: 90

33/1

Not a terrible effort behind the useful Umbrigado on bumper debut at Uttoxeter last November but has looked pretty moderate in four hurdles starts since then. Better ground here may help and it's early days, so not written off just yet.

Form: 80788

The Accountant^h1²¹²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-8| J: J M Quinlan| T: Miss A Murphy| OR: 93

25/1

Only shown flashes of ability in three hurdles starts and a bit disconcerting to see the cheekpieces done away with and a hood tried so quickly. Opening handicap mark far from a gimme and needs some improvement today.

Form: 468

Snowell^p³⁰

Age: 12| Weight: 10-6| J: Jamie Bargary| T: Mrs E Bishop| OR: 85| D

66/1

Well handicapped on old form but last win came back in 2014 and there are some big absences on his CV since. Very hard to make a solid case for despite the attractive-looking mark and this veteran is passed over today.

Form: 8335/06

Spader³⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Page Fuller⁽³⁾| T: Miss L V Davis| OR: 84| CD

20/1

Hard to win with when in the care of Dan Skelton but had ability, and it wasn't a dreadful effort when fourth at Doncaster last time out. Handicapper giving him a chance and might hit the frame at a price, with conditions ideal.

Form: 804B74

Hartside^t,v¹⁰

Age: 10| Weight: 10-1| J: Ross Chapman| T: P Winks| OR: 80| D

40/1

Pops up from time to time but into the veteran stage now and there's not been much in the way of signs that he's about to strike again any time soon. Good looking mark not enough to tempt in at present.

Form: 5-V0476

Non-Runners

Secret Melody¹⁰

Weight: 11-1| Age: 6

T: S-J Davies J: James Bowen

Forecasts

Nachi Falls (6/4), Cock A Doodle Doo (5/1), Cardigan Bay (15/2), Blue N Yellow (8/1), Texan Nomad (11/1), Dan Gun (12/1), Secret Melody (12/1), Hattaab (14/1), Spader (20/1), The Accountant (25/1), Bob Maxwell (33/1), Oscar Maguire (33/1), Hartside (40/1), Jones Well (40/1), Snowell (66/1), Twycross Warrior (100/1)

Secret Melody might get an easy time of it on the front end and looks the one to catch. He should be there at the business end, as should Nachi Falls if he's in the same form as last week. But a chance is taken on SPADER who is hard to catch right but if Page Fuller can bring him with a chance at the last, the short run in here might suit and he could poke his head back in front. The Olly Murphy pair of Jones Well and Oscar Maguire are potential improvers and Bob Maxwell is worth a look despite the poor form of his yard.