17:35 Ayr

Saturday 9 March 2019

All14:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:0517:35

PABST Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 17:36 | Winning time: 4m 3.80s

Corrieben Reiver⁶⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-9| J: Dale Irving⁽³⁾| T: A C Whillans| D

15/2

Scored at Newcastle in December (good to soft), but held here under a penalty last time and again looks vulnerable this time.

Form: 314

Ebony Jewel⁹⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Lucy Alexander| T: N W Alexander

3/1

Promising effort on debut at Haydock in December, after which he was sold for £70,000. In good hands and it would be no surprise to see him improve and get his nose in front this time.

Form: 2

Milvale⁶⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Rachel McDonald⁽⁵⁾| T: A M Thomson

7/2

Second in his debut point and again here (good to soft) on rules debut in January. That was promising and he can again be competitive.

Form: 22

Reign Back Dancer⁵³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Jonathon Bewley⁽³⁾| T: G Bewley

100/1

50-1 and a 10L seventh of eight on debut at Newcastle (2m, AW) in January. Can come on for that, but may need more time to get genuinely competitive for a stable that is 1-43 in bumpers over five seasons.

Form: 7

Sidi Ismael¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: B S Hughes| T: K Dalgleish

10/1

Irish point runner-up in November. 10-1 on rules debut in a Carlisle bumper last month, when racing keenly, but showing promise with a 7½L fourth. Stable does well in this sphere. Should be thereabouts.

Form: F-24

Skiddaw Tara

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Craig Nichol| T: N G Richards

6/1

Half-brother to two winners and has the pedigree to win races as a jumper. One of two here for the stable, and looks first string on usual jockey bookings. Interesting newcomer.

Form:

Space Safari⁶⁷¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-2| J: Grant Cockburn⁽³⁾| T: Mrs L B Normile

16/1

Took the scenic route when winning a point (2m4f, good) in 2017. Absent since then, and has changed hands to a yard that is 1-10 in bumpers over past five seasons. Probably one to watch on rules debut.

Form: P/1-

The Blame Game⁷¹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-2| J: Steven Fox⁽⁵⁾| T: J Ewart

4/1

Showed some promise in two bumpers in Ireland, particularly the second of them at Leopardstown, when 5½L second in December. Stable has occasional winners (7%) in this sphere, and this looks one of its more likely candidates.

Form: 72

Betty Petch^t⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 10-9| J: Mr Aiden Blakemore⁽⁷⁾| T: L Egerton

50/1

Not devoid of promise in two starts so far. but probably likely to need more time before he gets involved at the business end.

Form: 57

Gotta Getaway^t¹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 10-9| J: Danny Cook| T: S Nolan

28/1

25-1 and beaten 23L on debut at Thurles last month. Needs a big step up on that to get competitive.

Form: 7

Tom And Tony H

Age: 4| Weight: 10-8| J: Callum Bewley| T: R M Smith

33/1

Does not stand out as an obvious debut bumper winner on pedigree, nor when you consider that his trainer is 0-24 in this discipline over the past five season.

Form:

Non-Runners

Marown

Weight: 11-2| Age: 5

T: N G Richards J: Sean Quinlan

Forecasts

Ebony Jewel (3/1), Milvale (7/2), The Blame Game (4/1), Skiddaw Tara (6/1), Corrieben Reiver (15/2), Sidi Ismael (10/1), Marown (10/1), Space Safari (16/1), Gotta Getaway (28/1), Tom And Tony H (33/1), Betty Petch (50/1), Reign Back Dancer (100/1)

You have to respect Corrieben River as a previous winner, but if he makes the frame again under a penalty it will still be a decent effort. For the winner, however, we suggest THE BLAME GAME, who went close in one of these in Ireland. Ebony Jewel should again be thereabouts, while Milvale, Sidi Ismael, Skiddaw Tara and Marown are others of interest.