15:15 Wincanton

Thursday 7 March 2019

All13:4014:1014:4015:1515:4516:2016:5517:30

All Sport Insurance Mares' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 15:15 | Winning time: 3m 56.70s

Ask Jilly⁶⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: Kielan Woods| T: M R Bosley

200/1

Last in all three career races the latest two at 250/1 and 150/1. Impossible to fancy.

Form: 000

I'm A Believer^h,t¹⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Wayne Hutchinson| T: A King

33/1

Moderate flat performer well beaten in two hurdle races to date. This yard can do well with such sorts in handicaps and that likely her future.

Form: 49

Illuminated Beauty^t¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: David Bass| T: K Bailey & M Nicholls

25/1

£55,000 Flemensfirth mare out of a winning hurdler. Looked a shade fortunate to win an Oldcastle point-to-point in the slowest time of the day and was midfield on hurdles debut at Huntingdon. Yard always respected but place likely limit here.

Form: P-217

Leave My Alone⁸⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: R P McLernon| T: Mrs R Ford

66/1

Won last of her three points and subsequently bough for £20,000 by these connections. Interesting newcomer but watching brief best course of action.

Form: 7F1

Loquacious Lady

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Kieron Edgar⁽³⁾| T: H Fry

25/1

Milan newcomer closely related to winners Mischievous Milly (useful 2m hurdle)and Jersey Bean (bumper/useful 2m3f-3m hurdle). Joined respected yard but tough ask here.

Form:

Penny Poet¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: N D Fehily| T: N P Mulholland

12/1

Reasonable AW/Flat performer at around 1m4f (OR 62). 12-1 and made a decent hurdles debut over C&D although since disappointed at Exeter when too keen. Would have been behind Dieu Benisse but for that ones fall here so place appeal only.

Form: 27

Perfect Myth¹⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 11-0| J: Harry Bannister| T: H Whittington| OR: 112

8/1

Poor flat performer but shown decent level in two hurdles race following a Fakenham third with a Huntingdon fourth. Toughest task to date here but has place claims nonetheless.

Form: 23-5034

Saumur⁵¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-0| J: J J Burke| T: D J Coakley

10/1

Has shown some fair Flat form but (rated 68) but hasn't won in that sphere since May 2016 (plenty of placed efforts). Hurdles bow saw a promising enough fourth of 14 at Lingfield. More needed here but can't be totally ruled out.

Form: 4

Sweet Adare^t¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 11-0| J: James Best| T: V R A Dartnall

4/1

Dead-heated in a bumper last year. Showed the benefit of wind surgery and a tongue-tie when going close last time at Taunton and the third has won since. Merits respect here.

Form: 41-782

Westerner Ocean¹⁹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-0| J: M G Nolan| T: Alexandra Dunn

200/1

Runner-up on three of her four point-to-point starts, though not seen in that sphere since May 2017, she made an uninspiring rules debut at Taunton and little more impression here next.

Form: 222/5-78

Miranda²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 10-12| J: Harry Cobden| T: P F Nicholls

2/5

Three time winner on the Flat in France purchased for €47,000 at the sales subsequently and made a winning start for all-conquering yard at Ludlow last month. Penalty here but that largely offset by four-year-old allowance so leading contender here.

Form: 1

Non-Runners

Dieu Benisse³⁸

Weight: 11-0| Age: 6

T: N J Henderson J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Miranda (2/5), Dieu Benisse (11/4), Sweet Adare (4/1), Perfect Myth (8/1), Saumur (10/1), Penny Poet (12/1), Illuminated Beauty (25/1), Loquacious Lady (25/1), I'm A Believer (33/1), Leave My Alone (66/1), Westerner Ocean (200/1), Ask Jilly (200/1)

Smooth Ludlow hurdles winner MIRANDA can follow up despite the tougher ask of her here under a penalty. Dieu Benisse has fell in both races but was bang in contention in both at the time and with a clear round she would be a big danger. Penny Poet was a beneficiary of the latter's fall two starts back here and should give a solid account once again.