15:50 Chepstow

Friday 18 January 2019

All13:0513:3514:1014:4515:2015:50

Coopers Marquees Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:54 | Winning time: 5m 19.2s

Sizing Brisbane¹⁷

Age: 11| Weight: 12-4| J: H Cobden| T: C L Tizzard| OR: 101

10/1

Yet to show his earlier promise in two starts this season, after more than two years off. Would be interesting if supported, but not easy to have much confidence at present.

Form: 6826/45

Shrewd Tactics^t²⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 12-4| J: Adam Wedge| T: Evan Williams| OR: 101

8/1

Would have a squeak from this mark if able to reproduce his chase debut effort from Taunton, but that was going on for two years ago. Plenty to prove on what he has shown in three runs this season.

Form: 842/5U5

Goodgirlteresa⁴^{(ex 7)}

Age: 9| Weight: 12-3| J: M G Nolan| T: K Woollacott| OR: 93| D

7/2

Came back to her best when an eased-down 14L winner at Ffos Las (2m3½f, soft) earlier in the week. Reappears quickly under a penalty. More needed, but should again go very well.

Form: 487371

Overawed⁴¹

Age: 8| Weight: 11-12| J: Lee Edwards| T: J Groucott| OR: 95| BF

10/1

Sole win came in a Southwell handicap hurdle (1m7½f, soft) in March 2017. Well below that in all but one start since, when when was narrowly beaten in at Hereford (2m) in November. 2lb higher and over further here, and stamina questionable.

Form: 005-524

Shintori³²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-11| J: Nick Scholfield| T: Jack Barber| OR: 94

4/1

Off the mark at the 21st attempt at Plumpton (2m3½f, soft) last time, doing so readily. Now he has that career-best under his belt, he may be capable of more, but an 11lb rise looks steep.

Form: 4PP-361

Mountain Of Mourne^b¹¹

Age: 10| Weight: 11-9| J: James Best| T: Miss L Blackford| OR: 92| CD

14/1

Scored here over the 2m3½f (heavy) as a hurdler in 2015, but losing run now at 20 since then. Best form would give him claims from this mark, but has been well short of that for some time.

Form: 2484-04

Bajardo^p1,t³⁵

Age: 11| Weight: 11-5| J: Jamie Bargary| T: Mrs E Bishop| OR: 88

25/1

Dual chase winner at around 2m in 2017, but badly out of sort in four of his five runs last year. New headgear fitted, but can only watch at present.

Form: 3B3-886

Holeinthewall Bar^p²⁷

Age: 11| Weight: 11-3| J: Charlie Hammond⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs Tracey Barfoot-Saunt| OR: 86

25/1

Went close when on this mark at Southwell (2m, good) last June. Well beaten twice since in similar races, and was never likely to be a player in better company at Ascot last time. Others preferred.

Form: 6-62575

Hurry Henry^p¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 11-2| J: R P McLernon| T: Mrs R Ford| OR: 85

33/1

Without a win since January 2016 and recent efforts suggest that it will be tough for him to find another race in which to get his nose in front.

Form: 4/PPP-86

Cnoc Sion^p⁵⁰

Age: 9| Weight: 11-1| J: David Noonan| T: R Brotherton| OR: 84

16/1

Scored on his eighth attempt over fences at 66-1 at Bangor (2m4½f, good; first-time cheekpieces) in October. Held after 5lb rise on only run since (soft ground a possible excuse). Needs to bounce right back.

Form: 6P601P

Little Jimmy^b,t¹⁸

Age: 12| Weight: 10-10| J: R T Dunne| T: T R Gretton| OR: 79| C

16/1

Has won won since March 2016, when 26lb higher. Stays this far and acts with cut in the ground, but while well treated on his form of last winter, he is showing no signs of taking advantage.

Form: 33-3P54

Waitinonasunnyday¹⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 10-7| J: Philip Donovan⁽⁷⁾| T: M Blake| OR: 76

16/1

Moderate hurdler who was a 75L fourth of six on his recent chase debut at Hereford (2m). Stayed 2m5f over hurdles, but hard to make a case for him.

Form: P52-764

Bonds Conquest^p¹⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 10-7| J: J E Moore| T: J W Mullins| OR: 76

10/1

1-22, having scored at Leicester (2m4f, heavy) over fences last March. 3lb higher here, and after a recent reappearance may have sharpened him up, he could be much more closely involved.

Form: 3/P441-4

Midnight Owle^t¹⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 10-3| J: C J Todd⁽⁷⁾| T: Miss C Dyson| OR: 72

13/2

19-race maiden who posted a career-best at Warwick (2m, good to soft) last time, when 6L second. A repeat would give him claims, but consistency is not a strong point.

Form: 23PP42

Forecasts

Goodgirlteresa (7/2), Shintori (4/1), Midnight Owle (13/2), Shrewd Tactics (8/1), Overawed (10/1), Bonds Conquest (10/1), Sizing Brisbane (10/1), Mountain Of Mourne (14/1), Little Jimmy (16/1), Cnoc Sion (16/1), Waitinonasunnyday (16/1), Bajardo (25/1), Holeinthewall Bar (25/1), Hurry Henry (33/1)

A weak race can go to GOODGIRLTERESA, who is taken to defy a penalty for her Ffos Las win earlier in the week and take advantage before the handicapper has his say. Shintori has to try shrug off an 11lb rise for his Plumpton success, and that looks onerous, although he may still have an impact given the lack of opposition. Bonds Conquest and to a lesser extent Midnight Owle also make some appeal.