15:30 Hereford

Wednesday 2 January 2019

All12:5013:2013:5514:3015:0015:30

MansionBet Mares' Novices' Hurdle

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 5f 163y  |   Good to Soft (Soft in places )  |   10 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:30  |   Winning time: 5m 35.8s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
11/4
Sprang a 25/1 surprise when wining at Ludlow last time leaving behind previous modest form. This is tougher giving weight away but another bold show cannot be ruled out.
First time cheekpieces applied having run well but a shade lazily when third on hurdles bow at Wincanton. Has fair bumper form so should win races over timber and has to be respected here.
3
Horse silk
20/1
Landed Stratford bumper in July and ran well for a long way when sixth at Warwick in November on first start over obstacles. Could be more to come but another step forward needed to win.
Cost £62,000 after wining Irish point to point. No luck under Rules so far, unseating on hurdles bow at Newbury 12 months ago then falling after being hampered at Leicester last month. Represents top yard and may go well with clear round.
5
Horse silk
20/1
Plenty of promise when fourth on debut in Warwick bumper in November, then outclassed in lised bumper last time. Hurdles bow and is related to some fair performers so well worth taking a glance around for market support.
6
Horse silk
Makety263
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-0| J: L Heard| T: O SherwoodWS
12/1
Won 2m point-to-point at Hereford in April on only start so far and now makes debut under Rules. Hard to equate form but probably has a bit to find to be competitive at this level.
7
Horse silk
9/2
Won between the flags in Ireland over 3m on heavy ground and shaped well when fifth in Cheltenham bumper in the spring. Again showed ability when fourth behind Liberty Bella on hurdles bow last time and may get much closer now with 6lb pull.
8
Horse silk
33/1
Half-sister to decent Shining Strand and First Love but didn't show much on hurdles bow at Lingfield in November. Should have learned plenty though and a better display could be on the cards.
9
Horse silk
Ruby Tiger84
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-0| J: T J O'Brien| T: H D Daly| BF
8/1
Finished third in each of her first two bumpers but disappointed in that sphere when sent off favourite last time, finishing just 5th of 7. Hurdles bow and has nice jumps pedigree but others make more appeal.
10
Horse silk
See What599
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-0| J: Charlie Hammond(5)| T: H James
50/1
1-9 in Irish point to potins and makes Rules debut now for new stable that has yet to saddle a winner from 39 attempts to date.

Forecasts

Liberty Bella (11/4), Cedar Valley (7/2), Loveherandleaveher (4/1), Malachys Girl (9/2), Ruby Tiger (8/1), Makety (12/1), Magnetize (20/1), Getaway Honey (20/1), No Trumps (33/1), See What (50/1)

Verdict

Despite failing to finish in in both hurdles outings so far, LOVEHERANDLEAVEHER could be good enough here with a clear round. She's been unlucky and deserves a change of fortune. The only previous winner is the penalised Liberty Bella who turned over a new leaf when winning at Ludlow, but fourth placed Malachys Girl may well reverse the placings on better terms. Cedar Valley showed promise on her first race over timber, and both Getaway Honey and Magnetize are among a number in this event open to improvement.
  1. Loveherandleaveher
  2. Malachys Girl
  3. Liberty Bella

Prize Money

1st: £4,809.002nd: £1,412.003rd: £706.004th: £353.00

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