14:50 Newcastle

Friday 16 November 2018

All12:0012:3013:0513:4014:1514:5015:25

Certax Accountants Mares' Handicap Chase

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 7f 91y  |   Good (Good to Firm in places)  |   3 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:50  |   Winning time: 5m 59.7s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
Sheneededtherun34
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-12| J: J Kington| T: M Scudamore| OR:  108
9/4
Boasts a 25% strike-rate over fences (2-8); towards the rear throughout on seasonal reappearance at Chepstow (2m7f+) last month; trainer also represented by Dawnieriver.
2
Horse silk
Expresstime193
Age: 5|  Weight: 11-9| J: B S Hughes| T: C Grant| OR:  105
4/1
Cost £24,000 out of the Irish point-to-point scene and having had various niggling issues since switched to rules racing, we've not seen the best of her abilities just yet; conditions not overly problematic in such a weak contest.
3
Horse silk
Dawnieriverp14
Age: 8|  Weight: 10-11| J: Benjamin Poste| T: M Scudamore| OR:  93| BF
8/11
4-28 over fences; fallen 15lb in the weights since her last win at Southwell (3m) in March 2017; beaten just over 1L in a modest four-runner mares' handicap chase at Uttoxeter (2m6f+, good) a fortnight ago; stablemate of Sheneededtherun.

Forecasts

Dawnieriver (8/11), Sheneededtherun (9/4), Expresstime (4/1)

Verdict

Michael Scudamore has an excellent record at Newcastle since 2008 (6-14; 43%) and with two of the three declared runners in this race, there's every likelihood that he'll be adding winner number seven to that tally come about 3pm. Dawnieriver has conditions in her favour (good ground) and receives weight from SHENEEDEDTHERUN who would undoubtedly prefer softer conditions (no rain forecast). However, the suspicion is that the top-weight still has more potential in the locker than her largely under-performing stablemate, so rates as the token selection in a race which makes no appeal for betting purposes.
  1. Sheneededtherun
  2. Dawnieriver
  3. Expresstime

Prize Money

1st: £4,614.002nd: £1,355.003rd: £677.004th: £350.005th: £350.006th: £350.007th: £350.008th: £350.00

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