20:30 Dundalk Wed 7 November 2018
Carried exactly this weight to success when winning this race a year ago and arrives on the back of a very solid C&D second. Handicap mark 3lb below last year and claims here are rock solid.
Kept on into second on handicap debut at Thurles last month which was her best effort since a good third on debut in lone previous AW start. Potential for plenty of improvement now up in trip so rates a leading contender.
C&D win last time out her first, beating Sleepy Head. Impressive enough there to think she can overcome 6lb rise and remain competitive but has to be good chance aforementioned can reverse now.
25/1 win at Navan (1m2f) penultimately rather came out of nowhere but she ran a sound enough race next when fifth at Leopardstown. Seems to have turned over a new leaf but still need a little more.
Unplaced so far in five races and beaten 9L and 14L in last two starts since switching to handicaps. Sizable step forward needed to get competitive here.
15-race maiden has rarely been far away this season with a C&D second in September among his best efforts. Unplaced however in subsequent three starts and draw on the wing only makes things tougher.
Unplaced in nine starts to date and now starts out for a third trainer following two uninspiring efforts in 2018 where he was beaten 14½L and 16L. Hard to be confident.
Yet to make the frame in 12 career starts and indeed never better than seventh this term in five starts. Handicap continues to fall but still hard to recommend.
Beaten 13½L and 12L in two starts since a 560 day absence. Now goes up in trip and does like it here but still has to be considered a very risky proposition.
1m Bellewstown winner in August has won here three times over that trip as well as over C&D back in 2015. 4L fourth at Wolverhampton latest his best run since that Bellewstown win but handicap probably high enough now.
Arrives on the back of a solid third over 1m at Thurles but didn't seem to stay 1m3f in July which was the only time since debut he had gone beyond 1m. Handicap the same so should be competitive if she stays but that is the doubt.
Yet to make the frame in six starts although her latest fourth, while remote probably represented her best effort to date. Handicap falls again so has place possibilities but doubt much more than that.
Tailed off on recent return to action although possibly didn't stay 1m6f in his defence. Form over shorter however little more compelling so best options remain elsewhere. Second Reserve.
Last Year's Winner
|11||Sleepy Head||4||9-12||5/2||Full Result|
|T: P J FlynnJ: P J Smullen|
Lady De Vesci (5/2), Dromana (5/2), Sleepy Head (6/1), Chaparral Dream (7/1), Too Precious (8/1), Royal Admiral (8/1), Maid In Manhattan (10/1), Saint Irini (10/1), Nulife (12/1), Nevsky (16/1), Fake Media (16/1), Alwarda (25/1), War Room (25/1), Gallant Girl (33/1), Messerati Kid (40/1), Manorov (66/1), Sarzana (66/1)
- Sleepy Head
- Lady De Vesci
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