16:38 Churchill Downs

Saturday 3 November 2018

All14:4515:1516:0016:3817:1618:0418:4619:3620:1620:5621:4422:22

Race 4 - Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Grade 1)

Off time: 16:46 | Winning time: -

(1)

Ruby Notion⁵⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: Florent Geroux| T: Darrin Miller| OR: 118| D

16/1

Career best when winning a Grade 3 last time on debut for this yard. Would need a huge step up on that effort to play a part here though back down in trip.

Form: 14-6311

(2)

Bucchero²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Fernando Cruz La De| T: Tim Glyshaw| OR: 114| D

20/1

Landed a second Grade 2 at Keeneland last month and has form with cut in the ground. Ran okay in this race last year but more needed if he's to be considered for win purposes.

Form: 323551

(3)

Hembree²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Tyler Gaffalione| T: Michael Maker| OR: 113| D

33/1

Improving sort who won a Grade 2 at Woodbine last time. Has plenty to find at this level though and drop back in trip not guaranteed to suit.

Form: 331411

(4)

Vision Perfect⁶¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Javier Castellano| T: Jason Servis| OR: 110| D

16/1

Grade 3 winner at Parx in July but couldn't repeat that success back at that course last time and this represents a huge step up in class. Conditions in his favour at least.

Form: 3-31612

(5)

Disco Partner²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Joel Rosario| T: Christophe Clement| OR: 119| D

4/1

Won a Grade 2 at Belmont in June and ran well in this race last year. His mid-to-low draw is an advantage over his expected market rivals but conditions probably against him here.

Form: 3-31531

(6)

Rainbow Heir⁶¹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-0| J: Jose Ortiz| T: Jason Servis| OR: 122| D

14/1

Listed winner at Gulfstream Park in January but missed most of the campaign and only ran okay on return in a Grade 3; up against it here.

Form: 3141-13

(7)

Lost Treasure¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 112| BF| D

11/1

Travels well but doesn't go through with his finishing effort. Produced a fine run in the Abbaye at big odds and a reproduction of that would see him go close but his two runs since have been below that level; needs to be delivered on the line.

Form: 141523

(8)

Chanteline²²

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: Ricardo Jr Santana| T: Steven Asmussen| OR: 116| D

12/1

Improving with every run and landed a Keeneland Grade 3 last time out. Soft ground a complete unknown but lightly raced on turf and not without each-way claims if handling conditions.

Form: 141211

(9)

Stormy Liberal³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Drayden Dyke Van| T: Peter Miller| OR: 121| D

6/1

Impressive when winning this last year and while beaten next time, has largely held his form well since including a fine second in the Al Quoz Sprint. Has won in lesser company on his last two starts but should handle this step back up in class.

Form: 226111

(10)

Havana Grey²⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: J P McDonald| T: K R Burke| OR: 112| D

12/1

Won a weak Group 1 at the Curragh two runs back and wasn't beaten far in the Abbaye last time out, probably ridden too close to the pace. Will appreciate this ground more than most in here.

Form: 616518

(11)

World Of Trouble⁵⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: Irad Ortiz Jr| T: Jason Servis| OR: 112| D

7/2

Useful on dirt and has looked like a smart turf prospect in his latest two starts, justifying favouritism on each occasion. Will need more here and soft ground not guaranteed to suit.

Form: 2-13411

(12)

Richard's Boy^b1¹⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Paco Lopez| T: Peter Miller| OR: 115| BF| D

28/1

Narrowly denied when caught by Stormy Liberal in this race last year but he hasn't been in the same form this time around and might not want this ground.

Form: 337622

(13)

Will Call²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-0| J: Shaun Bridgmohan| T: B Cox| OR: 110| D

20/1

Grade 3 winner here in May and not beaten far at Keeneland behind Bucchero last time out. Will need a sizable step forward to get involved here though and soft ground not sure to be ideal.

Form: 291172

(14)

Conquest Tsunami³⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Flavien Prat| T: Peter Miller| OR: 111| D

14/1

Grade 3 winner at Santa Anita in February and not far behind Stormy Liberal last time. Suspicion that runner will improve again from that run though and his best form is on fast ground.

Form: 113202

Non-Runners

(15)

Insta Erma²⁸

Weight: 8-11| Age: 5

T: R Baltas J: Non Runner

Forecasts

World Of Trouble (7/2), Disco Partner (4/1), Stormy Liberal (6/1), Lost Treasure (11/1), Havana Grey (12/1), Chanteline (12/1), Rainbow Heir (14/1), Conquest Tsunami (14/1), Ruby Notion (16/1), Vision Perfect (16/1), Will Call (20/1), Bucchero (20/1), Richard's Boy (28/1), Insta Erma (30/1), Hembree (33/1)

The European challengers could be well suited to the soft track here and it may be worth taking a chance on HAVANA GREY after a respectable effort in the Abbaye last time; a more patient ride could see him get competitive. Lost Treasure isn't straightforward but he has proven ability at this level and finished in front of the selection in the Abbaye last time. Last year's surprise winner Stormy Liberal shouldn't be ruled out and arrives in good form.