16:10 Nottingham

Wednesday 31 October 2018

All12:4013:1013:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:10

AJA Handicap (Gentleman Amateurs)

Off time: 16:12 | Winning time: 2m 15.18s

(4)

Motahassen²⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 11-7| J: Mr Garry Lavery| T: D Carroll| OR: 59

4/1

Broke his duck at Carlisle (1m1f, soft) in August, and creditable efforts over further on last two starts. Handles testing ground well, so forecast fast going is a slight worry.

Form: 091425

(10)

Exclusive Waters⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 11-7| J: Tom Midgley⁽⁵⁾| T: N Tinkler| OR: 59| D

12/1

Back to winning ways at Newcastle in August, but often doesn't help his chances with slow starts, as on his latest start, and his turf form this year has been patchy.

Form: 316285

(9)

Broughtons Story³⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: Mr R Birkett| T: P J McBride| OR: 58| D

8/1

Verstaile with regards to conditions, but he's struggled to find a seam of form since winning at Lingfield in January, and ran poorly in a similar race to this at Beverley last time.

Form: 655330

(12)

Nevada²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-4| J: Mr Simon Walker| T: S Gollings| OR: 56

3/1

Beaten in bumpers prior to turning his attentions to the Flat, and produced best effort in this sphere when a keeping-on second on handicap bow over 1m2f at Chelmsford last time. Top jockey booked, and claims if he builds on that as expected.

Form: 3592

(2)

Champagne Rules¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-3| J: Mr James King| T: Mrs S A Watt| OR: 55| CD

5/1

Hit form this time last year, and signalled a revival when second of 13 to Udogo at Wolverhampton (1m1½f) last time. Scored over C&D last summer, so ought to carry that form forward, and shortlisted.

Form: 420092

(16)

Whatwouldyouknow²⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 11-3| J: Mr Frederick Tett| T: R C Guest| OR: 59| D

13/2

Not too many miles on the clock and has enjoyed a profitable season with a brace of wins already. Better than ever when runner-up to Ross Raith Rover at Chelmsford last time, and may yet do better.

Form: 211042

(7)

Mr Carbonator¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 11-2| J: Mr Kaine Wood| T: P A Kirby| OR: 58

10/1

Won a brace on the AW early this year, and handicapper beginning to cut him some slack after a losing run. Never nearer fifth of 15 at Redcar last time suggests he is on the way back to form.

Form: 535055

(3)

Dream Free^p⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 10-13| J: Fergus Gillard⁽⁷⁾| T: D Pipe| OR: 51

14/1

Winner of a Beverley seller in July but has shown little enthusiasm for hurdling for current yard, and not a great surprise to see him back on the Flat. Not easy to fancy, though.

Form: 374531

(15)

Cold Fusion⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-9| J: Shane Quinlan| T: D L Williams| OR: 47| D

25/1

Couple of poor runs having been off the track for 15 months, but back to form when third of 16 to Tobacco Road in amateur handicap over 1m3½f at Windsor last time, and no reason to doubt that form. Could go well at a price.

Form: 225-003

(8)

Outlaw Torn^e/s⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 10-7| J: C J Todd⁽⁵⁾| T: R C Guest| OR: 45| D

66/1

Been a grand servant with plenty of wins on both turf and the AW to his name. However, his recent form has been on a downward spiral, and he is difficult to make a case for on this autumn's efforts.

Form: 880000

(6)

L'Es Fremantle²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-7| J: Mr H Sensoy⁽⁷⁾| T: M C Chapman| OR: 45

250/1

Very limited, as record of a solitary place (over fences) from 54 starts under Rules would testify, and analysis is entirely wasted on him.

Form: 7-70050

(13)

Dawn Of Reckoning^h¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 10-6| J: Luke Scott⁽⁷⁾| T: W G M Turner| OR: 48

50/1

Yet to be placed, but did at least get close to that goal when fourth of 14 to Rocksette in a 1m2f handicap at Brighton last time, and perhaps not a forlorn hope, for all she'll need to build on that now.

Form: 009084

(11)

Lisnamoyle Lady⁵⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 10-5| J: Jordan Williams| T: Martin Smith| OR: 47

66/1

Roderic O'Connor filly whose dam is an unraced half-sister to very smart 6f winner Danetime. No great show in qualifying, and failed to even match the pick of that form on handicap debut at Brighton.

Form: 0-648

Non-Runners

(5)

Compulsive¹³⁵

Weight: 11-4| Age: 3

T: G & J Moore J: Mr George Gorman

(1)

Amy Blair⁷⁴

Weight: 11-1| Age: 5

T: Stef Keniry J: Mr Alex Ferguson

(14)

Bevsboy²³

Weight: 10-8| Age: 4

T: Miss L C Siddall J: Alexander Fielding

Forecasts

Nevada (3/1), Motahassen (4/1), Champagne Rules (5/1), Whatwouldyouknow (13/2), Broughtons Story (8/1), Mr Carbonator (10/1), Exclusive Waters (12/1), Dream Free (14/1), Cold Fusion (25/1), Compulsive (25/1), Amy Blair (25/1), Dawn Of Reckoning (50/1), Outlaw Torn (66/1), Lisnamoyle Lady (66/1), Bevsboy (66/1), L'Es Fremantle (250/1)

CHAMPAGNE RULES is a C&D winner who signalled a return to form when second at Wolverhampton recently, and gets the nod over the unexposed Nevada in a trappy finale. The latter will be popular with Simon Walker booked, as will Whatwouldyouknow while Cold Fusion could go well at a price.