13:40 Carlisle

Thursday 18 October 2018

All13:4014:1014:4515:1515:4516:2016:5517:30

Smarkets Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 13:41 | Winning time: 4m 11.90s

Shadow Sadness^t³¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: Ross Turner⁽⁶⁾| T: O Greenall & J Guerriero| OR: 110

11/1

Boasts useful German Flat form for Christian Von Der Recke, and in frame on both completed starts over hurdles for current yard. Needs to better than form on handicap bow, but respected based on old ability.

Form: 4F3

Saint Freule^h¹⁶⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 11-11| J: Blair Campbell⁽³⁾| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell| OR: 109

17/2

Generally ran with credit over timber in the spring, but refused to race on penultimate outing at Perth, and that means he's hard to trust, at least until proving that was an aberration.

Form: 5542R-6

Canny Style¹⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 11-9| J: R D Day| T: K A Ryan| OR: 107| C

13/2

Won a 2m maiden hurdle at Musselburgh (good) in November and ran well enough in a couple of handicaps subsequently. No impact in two runs on the Flat in recent months, but presumably being geared towards another hurdling campaign.

Form: 2133-

Wazowski³¹

Age: 9| Weight: 11-9| J: Lorcan Murtagh⁽³⁾| T: D McCain Jnr| OR: 107

8/1

Winner at Sedgefield in January, and a model of consistency in handicaps this summer, making the frame on all five starts. Vulnerable to better-treated rivals, but should give his running again.

Form: 6-34234

Night Manager⁸³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: C Brace⁽⁵⁾| T: Micky Hammond| OR: 104

12/1

Has shown ability in bumpers and in a couple of spins over hurdles, and unexposed as such, but needs to improve a fair bit now moving into handicaps, and others preferred.

Form: 4-343

Minella Fiveo⁵⁴

Age: 10| Weight: 11-2| J: K Yeoman⁽⁸⁾| T: J Parkinson & S Smith| OR: 100

12/1

Second to a subsequent winner at Southwell in April, but not built on that subsequently. Hinted at a revival when taking a heavy fall at Cartmel on latest start, and remains to be seen if he can build on that.

Form: 42-666F

Xpo Universel^t,v³¹

Age: 9| Weight: 10-12| J: Callum Bewley| T: R Menzies| OR: 96| D

11/1

Finally off the mark at Cartmel in August at the 71st attempt, and back to that form when third of 9 to Strong Team at Hexham last time. Place claims again.

Form: 542163

Green Zone¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 10-12| J: Ross Chapman| T: Miss L Harrison| OR: 96

9/2

Recorded a ninth career success when winning over 2m4f at Perth last month, and unlucky not to finish closer (forced to switch very wide) when fourth at Kelso last time. Back in the groove now, and likely to go well again.

Form: 463214

Snowed In^p²⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 10-8| J: Thomas Dowson| T: B Butterworth| OR: 92| CD

20/1

Not easy to catch right and has done most of his winning at Catterick on softer ground. Back to form when third at Kelso last time, but far from certain to repeat that effort.

Form: 406-V73

Mac Cennetig^t³¹

Age: 6| Weight: 10-6| J: Harry Reed| T: Micky Hammond| OR: 90

33/1

Beaten just a nose on final start for Joseph O'Brien in Ireland a year ago but has run poorly for current yard, with wind surgery in the spring seeming to make no difference.

Form: 26P-988

Zabeel Star²⁴

Age: 6| Weight: 10-5| J: Dale Irving| T: Karen McLintock| OR: 89

4/1

Has raced just three times over hurdles since 2015 for another yard, and has since improved on the Flat. Placed off 84 in that sphere, so current hurdle mark of 89 could well be lenient.

Form: 267/

Hot Gossip¹³²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Danny McMenamin⁽⁵⁾| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer| OR: 80

100/1

Has shown glimmers of ability, but out of sorts and out of the handicap here, so impossible to fancy.

Form: 369-0

Forecasts

Zabeel Star (4/1), Green Zone (9/2), Canny Style (13/2), Wazowski (8/1), Saint Freule (17/2), Xpo Universel (11/1), Shadow Sadness (11/1), Minella Fiveo (12/1), Night Manager (12/1), Snowed In (20/1), Mac Cennetig (33/1), Hot Gossip (100/1)

GREEN ZONE figures on a fair mark still, and ought to have finished closer at Kelso last time, so looks the way to go in the opener, unless there is support for the potentially well-handicapped Zabeel Star, whose Flat form makes him of serious interest. Wazowski is probably vulnerable for win purposes, but he is very consistent, and should give each-way backers a run for their money.