16:55 Carlisle Thu 18 October 2018
Won twice over fences last season despite making serious jumping errors, and has finished weakly on more recent starts, suggesting an issue. Excuses with usual tongue tie missing last time, but still must be regarded as risky.
Ran well when second at Kelso in April, but runs either side of that less encouraging, and he is building up a rather patchy record over fences.
Only two wins since 2014 have come at Hexham, the latest in May over 2m. Ran well on next couple of starts, but took little interest under a claiming rider last time. Needs to bounce back.
Best effort in the spring when third in a 2m handicap chase at Wetherby in March, but ended season with a couple of poor runs, and needs to find his best form now, for all a break may help.
Only has one ear, hence the use of a hood, but genuine enough despite retaining maiden status under Rules. Ran well over fences at Perth in May, and probably needed the run over hurdles last month. Should go well from fair mark.
Completed a heavy ground double when winning over 2m1f over hurdles here in March, but has struggled for form since, and took only a small step forward returned to fences at Perth last month.
Last Year's Winner
Ryalex (6/5), Middlebrow (3/1), Sleep In First (7/1), Halcyon Days (15/2), Instingtive (8/1), Roxyfet (33/1)
Log in for access to this exclusive content.
Next Race Off
Swiss Knight is Anita Chambers' best bet of the day and she has a tip for every race in the UK.
Richard Mann is back in the Nap hot-seat for Wednesday's selection and he heads to Kempton for the bet of the day.
David Ord has a horse-by-horse guide to Saturday's Caspian Caviar Gold Cup and tips at 25/1 and 16/1.