15:05 Brighton

Thursday 18 October 2018

All13:3014:0014:3015:0515:3516:0516:4017:15

Happy Birthday Nelly Jolly Handicap

Off time: 15:07 | Winning time: 2m 2.97s

(12)

Power Home¹⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Scott McCullagh⁽⁷⁾| T: D J Coakley| OR: 60

16/1

Returned from a seven month break to run a cracker at Chepstow in June but below that on return from a break. Presumably has had her issues and perhaps worth waiting till she gets back on soft ground.

Form: 6120-27

(9)

Channel Packet⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Mark Crehan⁽⁷⁾| T: M Appleby| OR: 60| D

9/2

Bids for a hat-trick following wins over this distance at Nottingham and doing well to win over 7f at Leicester. No penalty and should have more to offer back up in trip. Rates a leading hope.

Form: 205511

(10)

Windsorlot¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Poppy Bridgwater⁽⁵⁾| T: A W Carroll| OR: 59| D

12/1

Back on last winning mark and did race well enough over this C&D three runs back. Slow pace two starts ago and distance last time were valid excuses and could do better back here.

Form: 737246

(4)

Kirkland Forever⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Charles Bishop| T: Eve Johnson Houghton| OR: 57| C

6/4

Has really progressed with back-to-back wins over 1m4f at this course. Up 8lb but won with loads in hand last time and looks sure to go close.

Form: 465211

(1)

Tommys Geal²²⁵

Age: 6| Weight: 9-6| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: M Madgwick| OR: 56| BF| CD

33/1

Twice a C&D winner and three of his four wins have come over this distance. In form with two seconds over further and should be involved back in trip.

Form: 08D-522

(2)

Sussex Girl³⁰

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Nicola Currie⁽³⁾| T: John Berry| OR: 56| CD

13/2

Yet to add to two wins at the end of last season despite being on a good mark. Needs to bounce back from three disappointing runs.

Form: 633856

(16)

Monsieur Fox⁴³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: J F Egan| T: Mrs L Richards| OR: 58

66/1

Six-race maiden who didn't really improve on first try at this distance and plenty of progress required to be involved.

Form: 804755

(3)

Unbridled Spirit¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Joshua Bryan⁽³⁾| T: A M Balding| OR: 56| BF

20/1

10-race maiden who has been a beaten favourite in two of her last three starts. Disappointing effort at Bath and although trip and ground may help, his stable are quiet at present.

Form: 365759

(5)

Diamond Reflection^t¹⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 50| D

16/1

Came close to adding to sole success when running on well after encountering traffic problems over a mile. That was a weak contest but he will be suited by this trip.

Form: 075932

(13)

Rocksette^p1³¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-13| J: H Crouch| T: G & J Moore| OR: 49| BF

9/1

18-race maiden who has been placed on eight occasions. Below her best in two starts for this stable and others preferred.

Form: 234334

(15)

Altaira^b¹⁷

Age: 7| Weight: 8-11| J: David Probert| T: A W Carroll| OR: 47| D

12/1

In good form with a win and two thirds and just found the mile against him at Bath. Suited by return to this trip and should go well again.

Form: 075133

(11)

Captain Marmalade^h⁴³

Age: 6| Weight: 8-11| J: Hollie Doyle| T: J C Fox| OR: 47| C

40/1

Won over a mile here last year but has been nowhere near that level in four runs this season and is looking regressive.

Form: 10-0747

(6)

Dawn Of Reckoning^h⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Thore Hammer-Hansen⁽⁷⁾| T: W G M Turner| OR: 48

66/1

Yet to place in 10 starts over a variety of distances and little promise to be taken in first two runs for this stable.

Form: 000908

(14)

Arabian Fairytale^b¹²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Charlie Bennett| T: A West| OR: 48

66/1

Slowly away and never got involved in all three starts for Clive Cox and tailed off on first run for new trainer. Easy to dismiss.

Form: 0890

Non-Runners

(8)

Willsy³⁵

Weight: 8-10| Age: 5

T: Frank Bishop J: Non Runner

(7)

Dracarys⁵⁶

Weight: 8-6| Age: 3

T: K O Cunningham-Brown J: M Dwyer

Forecasts

Kirkland Forever (6/4), Channel Packet (9/2), Sussex Girl (13/2), Rocksette (9/1), Altaira (12/1), Windsorlot (12/1), Power Home (16/1), Diamond Reflection (16/1), Unbridled Spirit (20/1), Tommys Geal (33/1), Willsy (33/1), Captain Marmalade (40/1), Dracarys (50/1), Dawn Of Reckoning (66/1), Arabian Fairytale (66/1), Monsieur Fox (66/1)

Two horses bidding for a hat-trick stand out with preference for CHANNEL PACKET who gets to race off the same mark as his latest win over a trip that is ideal. Kirkland Forever is an obvious danger but may be less suited by the distance. Windsorlot is respected over this C&D as is Tommys Geal who is in good heart. Altaira can't be dismissed back up to this distance.