17:30 Leicester

Tuesday 9 October 2018

All14:1514:5015:2015:5016:2516:5517:3018:00

Red Deer Handicap (Div 2)

Off time: 17:31 | Winning time: 1m 9.60s

(3)

Swanton Blue⁹^{(ex 6)}

Age: 5| Weight: 9-10| J: Seamus Cronin⁽⁷⁾| T: E De Giles| OR: 66| D

9/2

Won a similar race at Epsom last week, for which he carries a penalty here. Profile suggests that he will have his work cut out to follow up, but respected nonetheless.

Form: 846241

(1)

Danecase^v²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: David Dennis| OR: 71| D

6/1

Back on a handy mark, considering he was ½L second from 2lb higher at Haydock in June and from 3lb higher at Newbury next time (7f). Not as good since then, but if back to his best he would be feared.

Form: 523486

(5)

Cuttin' Edge¹³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: James Doyle| T: W R Muir| OR: 69| CD

11/4

Won a C&D maiden (good) two years ago. Made a quiet return from a long absence at Ascot in May, but took step back in right direction when last seen later that month. Handicapper giving him a chance. Interesting.

Form: 231/07

(9)

Young John²⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 9-6| J: Connor Murtagh⁽⁵⁾| T: M Murphy| OR: 68| D

10/1

Both turf wins have been on soft, so looks in need of rain. Has not won since 2016 and losing run now 12. Now obvious signs from recent evidence that the next one will be just yet.

Form: 300-006

(10)

Wear It Well⁹¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-6| J: Fran Berry| T: H Candy| OR: 69| D

28/1

Brighton maiden winner (6f, good) last year. Well below that form in three subsequent handicap runs and not easy to fancy despite another 3lb drop and drop in grade.

Form: 0415-96

(7)

Poyle George Two²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Harry Bentley| T: R M Beckett| OR: 67

11/1

Has shown some promise in two of his three novice runs. Enters handicaps on a mark that looks no more than fair, but if he can find some improvement it would be hard to rule him out.

Form: 533

(2)

Dreamboat Annie^p¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: Oisin Murphy| T: M D I Usher| OR: 66| CD

6/1

Goes well here and won a C&D handicap (good to firm) in July, when 7lb lower. Went close back here from just 3lb lower last month. Would be ideally suited by it being faster than good ground. Each-way claims back here from this mark.

Form: 146233

(6)

Berlios^p,t¹³

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: Joey Haynes| T: D Loughnane| OR: 62| D

16/1

2-33, his sole handicap success being in a lady amateurs' race over this trip at Ayr (good to firm) in June, when 2lb lower. Not yet been consistent in four runs for this trainer, but best effort would give him claims.

Form: 147030

(4)

Snooker Jim^t¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: F Norton| T: Steph Hollinshead| OR: 62

17/2

0-6 so far. Well held in three handicaps this year, but mark now becoming more feasible and it would not surprise to see him get more competitive again.

Form: 843-378

(8)

Minty Jones^v⁵⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 8-7| J: Laura Coughlan⁽⁷⁾| T: M Mullineaux| OR: 45| D

100/1

2-68 and without a win in over three years. 10lb out of the handicap and readily opposed.

Form: 565506

(11)

Affluence¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: George Wood| T: Martin Smith| OR: 54

16/1

Has run well here a few times in defeat. 1lb 'wrong' but not ruled out from this mark, given previous efforts here.

Form: 042506

Forecasts

Cuttin' Edge (11/4), Swanton Blue (9/2), Danecase (6/1), Dreamboat Annie (6/1), Snooker Jim (17/2), Young John (10/1), Poyle George Two (11/1), Berlios (16/1), Affluence (16/1), Wear It Well (28/1), Minty Jones (100/1)

Moderate fayre, where Swanton Blue can given another good account, but may be found wanting under a penalty and preference is for CUTTIN' EDGE. William Muir's four-year-old has been given a bit of daylight by the assessor and could take advantage. Danecase has claims if able to produce his best, while Poyle George Two and course-lovers Dreamboat Annie and Affluence are others of interest.