20:10 Kempton

Wednesday 8 August 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

32Red Casino Handicap

Off time: 20:13 | Winning time: 2m 36.41s

(6)

Giveaway Glance^h⁴⁹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-0| J: M Harley| T: A King| OR: 85

16/1

Little experience of the all-weather, which is a concern, but did the job nicely at Windsor two starts back before being outclassed at Chelmsford last time. Back in calmer waters here, and if handling the surface, could get back to winning ways.

Form: 516-316

(1)

Exceeding Power⁸⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: R Havlin| T: M R Bosley| OR: 85| C

33/1

Improved a little to take back-to-back contests at Lingfield and here at Kempton in the spring, but was a little disappointing when last seen out in May and it could be the handicapper has him now. Yet to win at this trip either.

Form: 422-110

(5)

Magellan²⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: James Doyle| T: H & R Charlton| OR: 84| C| D

15/8

Looks to be improving quickly now and came right away over 11f here last time out to score with plenty in hand. Extra furlong can only help, and 7lb rise is more than fair. No reason for him not to go close with a repeat of that.

Form: 6961-21

(7)

Jacob Cats^v³³

Age: 9| Weight: 9-12| J: Jason Watson⁽³⁾| T: W J Knight| OR: 83| CD

33/1

No problem with this surface (twice a winner on it last year) but not really in the same form this season. Recent efforts look like he needs more of a trip than 12f these days so unless they go quick up front, may leave himself with too much to do.

Form: 760645

(3)

Native Fighter³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-11| J: Hayley Turner| T: S Dow| OR: 82| CD

7/1

Winner over C&D in March and went close again when just denied by a head in early June, so clearly handles conditions fine. Needs to bounce back from a lesser effort last time but this is easier, and he can't be discounted.

Form: 162824

(14)

Argus⁶³

Age: 6| Weight: 9-10| J: Rossa Ryan⁽³⁾| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 81| C| D

40/1

Winner over 2m here in January but proved his versatility for this trip the month after. Might have needed latest effort where he went for home too soon and was well beaten late on, but could bounce back if on song.

Form: 161349

(4)

Zzoro²⁸

Age: 5| Weight: 9-9| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: Mrs A J Perrett| OR: 80

12/1

Only won two of his 23 starts, so no win machine, but running with a degree of consistency at present and wasn't disgraced over slightly shorter here last time out. Looks a bit one-paced, but not discounted, with this extra furlong a help.

Form: 302475

(13)

Moayadd^t1²¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-9| J: S W Kelly| T: N P Mulholland| OR: 80| C| D

40/1

Rattled off a hat-trick of wins in the winter (including two victories here) but two runs since coming back off a break have been less convincing, and now connections reach for a tongue-tie to turn things around. Risky at present.

Form: 1121-39

(11)

Continuum^v²⁸

Age: 9| Weight: 9-8| J: Tom Marquand| T: P Hedger| OR: 79| D

20/1

Got to wind the clock back to 2014 to find the last time he got his head in front, looks one-paced whatever trip he seems to try these days but did at least put in a decent effort to be third here last time. Place chances again.

Form: 45-3573

(12)

Ship Of The Fen⁵⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Oisin Murphy| T: M Meade| OR: 85

5/1

Relatively unexposed, and has had a short break since last being seen out (has won off a break before) but needs to conclusively prove that this is hos trip, with wins coming over shorter. Not ruled out, as he could do that, but others preferred.

Form: 216-153

(8)

Press Gang⁶⁹⁶

Age: 5| Weight: 8-13| J: Fran Berry| T: H Fry| OR: 70

25/1

First start for new yard (formerly with James Eustace) and hasn't been seen out since September 2016, so likely to need the run. Conditions probably fine but unless there's market support, may be best watched tonight.

Form: 235332/

(2)

Atticus Boy¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-12| J: S Donohoe| T: D R Lanigan| OR: 79| C| D

3/1

Completed the hat-trick at Hamilton when holding on by the narrowest of margins and clearly these conditions are no issue, but he's upped in grade and now has another new high mark to contend with, so needs more again.

Form: 833111

(9)

Rail Dancer^p¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 8-9| J: Aaron Jones⁽³⁾| T: S L Keightley| OR: 66| CD

66/1

Tailed off most recent starts and comes here in no form to speak of. Others readily preferred.

Form: 16-0080

Non-Runners

(10)

Delsheer³⁷

Weight: 8-12| Age: 3

T: H Palmer J: Josephine Gordon

Forecasts

Magellan (15/8), Atticus Boy (3/1), Ship Of The Fen (5/1), Native Fighter (7/1), Zzoro (12/1), Delsheer (12/1), Giveaway Glance (16/1), Continuum (20/1), Press Gang (25/1), Jacob Cats (33/1), Exceeding Power (33/1), Argus (40/1), Moayadd (40/1), Rail Dancer (66/1)

Argus might get his own way in front here and if ridden with a bit more patience this time, could go close to landing the prize, but MAGELLAN discovered the winning touch last time and won with such authority that he looks the one to beat again, even with a bit more weight on his back. Giveaway Glance will find this easier but needs to prove he's as happy on the AW as he is on turf, so Delsheer might be the one to give the selection most to think about after a better effort at Wolverhampton last time. Atticus Boy has some impressive looking form figures but this is harder.