18:10 Kempton

Wednesday 8 August 2018

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

32Red On The App Store Novice Stakes (Div 1)

Off time: 18:15 | Winning time: 1m 40.96s

(1)

Acclafrith²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: M M Monaghan⁽³⁾| T: M Botti

4/1

Learnt plenty from his Wolverhampton debut when well backed to take a novice auction event there in June and he duly obliged, battling well for a head success . Penalty here makes life harder but clearly going the right way.

Form: 41

(6)

Bhodi¹³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Oisin Murphy| T: Sir Michael Stoute

16/1

Nicely enough bred but has looked a bit at sea in two starts so far and didn't show enough at Doncaster last time out, although soft ground a possible excuse. May be of more interest in handicaps after today.

Form: 6-4

(4)

Blame Culture⁶³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Daniel Muscutt| T: G G Margarson| OR: 82

4/1

Has a couple of efforts to his name here at Kempton that would give him a chance, and ran up to his mark when second over 7f here last time. Lacks the scope a few of these have but should run his race and ought to be on the premises.

Form: 22-2386

(9)

Flashdanza

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: R Havlin| T: R Rowe

100/1

Price tag took a major hit when bought for just 4,000gns in February (went for 125,000gns as a yearling), already gelded and despite some appeal on pedigree, yard not known for 2yo winners. Can only be watched on debut.

Form:

(5)

Forgotten Promises¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: M Dwyer| T: Christian Williams

100/1

Likely to need a bit of time on pedigree and that was very much the way it looked on his Ffos Las debut, slowly away and beat one home. No realistic chance on that.

Form: 8

(3)

Fronsac

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Tim Clark⁽³⁾| T: D & C Kubler

20/1

Half-brother to some very useful sorts, including Nimr (best at 1m) and Dordogne (8f-10f), and should find this trip a suitable launchpad. Yard 3-27 with their 3yos here.

Form:

(2)

Maaward²⁸⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Hannon

6/4

Looked sure to win a race after a very solid debut over 7f here last October, finishing second, but slight concern he's not been seen since then and has been gelded in the meantime. Market likely to be best guide as to his chance, given all that.

Form: 2-

(7)

Maximum Vision¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: S Donohoe| T: C Ellam

200/1

Sent off huge prices and well beaten all three starts, beating only a handful of horses home. No realistic chance here.

Form: 790

(12)

Royal King^t²⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: William Cox⁽⁵⁾| T: M Blake

100/1

Never in the hunt on debut at Salisbury, finishing last of seven runners, and needs massive improvement to get anywhere near the main protagonists here.

Form: 7

(8)

Bridgefullofdreams¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: J P Fahy| T: G Harris

100/1

Not the worst debut in the world when getting the hang of things late at Ffos Las on debut and should improve, but this looks too hard for her at this stage.

Form: 5

(11)

Western Dynamisme³¹⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Levi Williams⁽⁷⁾| T: S Dow

200/1

Not beaten a horse home in three starts and needs to improve out of all recognition here.

Form: 880-

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 25p in the pound

Non-Runners

(10)

Algaffaal²⁷

Weight: 9-2| Age: 3

T: W J Haggas J: Dane O'Neill

Forecasts

Maaward (6/4), Algaffaal (2/1), Acclafrith (4/1), Blame Culture (4/1), Bhodi (16/1), Fronsac (20/1), Forgotten Promises (100/1), Bridgefullofdreams (100/1), Flashdanza (100/1), Royal King (100/1), Maximum Vision (200/1), Western Dynamisme (200/1)

Not too many to concentrate on here, and of those few, ALGAFFAAL makes most appeal after his good debut at Newcastle. It may pay to forgive him a poor effort last time out and if returning to that debut form, holds a decent chance here. Blame Culture looks sure to run his race and be thereabouts, and Acclafrith looks best of the rest.