20:20 Ayr

Tuesday 7 August 2018

All17:4018:1018:4519:1519:5020:2020:50

Ayrshire Cancer Support James Bond Ball Handicap

Off time: 20:21 | Winning time: 1m 41.20s

(3)

Guvenor's Choice⁵²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: B A Curtis| T: K R Burke| OR: 77

5/1

Two AW wins during 2017 but underwent wind surgery over the winter and so far hasn't appeared to enjoy benefits from it. Racing off a much lower mark on turf and down considerably in grade, but hard to be convinced by him currently.

Form: 51-4360

(7)

Mi Capricho⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-7| J: J Fanning| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 73

22/1

50/1 when runner-up to a stable companion at Musselburgh in 2017. That run has set his current mark but appears to flatter him judged on his other exploits.

Form: 5527-7

(4)

Snowdon⁶¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽³⁾| T: M Dods| OR: 70| D

11/4

Made a mockery of his opening handicap mark when upped to this trip at Yarmouth. Raised 8lbs for that win but worth every ounce and impossible to dismiss further progress. Major player again.

Form: 9-571

(5)

Just Sherry^p²³

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: D Tudhope| T: J Feane| OR: 69

9/4

Form looks inconsistent but this 11-race Irish maiden represents a yard that are 10-45 on their forays to these shores since 2014. Latest run gives her every chance if replicated and jockey booking catches the eye.

Form: 83-0272

(2)

Ventura Gold²¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: P Hanagan| T: R A Fahey| OR: 68

10/1

Record of 2-17 and his consistency in defeat is getting him no favours from the handicapper. Needs to find a bit extra but he has gone particularly well on the last two occasions this rider has been on board.

Form: 541434

(1)

Alabanza³⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 68| C

5/1

Cost just 800 gns and presumably recovered more than that when landing a gamble here four weeks ago. The time was modest and he is up 8lb in a stronger race.

Form: 9-74321

(6)

Mystical Mac^p⁴⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: G Lee| T: I Jardine| OR: 63

10/1

Best effort came on only outing when the ground has been described as good. Forecast to get those conditions so every chance he can recover from his latest disappointment

Form: 85-524

Forecasts

Just Sherry (9/4), Snowdon (11/4), Alabanza (5/1), Guvenor's Choice (5/1), Ventura Gold (10/1), Mystical Mac (10/1), Mi Capricho (22/1)

The Irish challenger Just Sherry shaped well last time but her profile does not promise she will run to that level again. Rain would undoubtedly improve her prospects whilst it would also dampen the prospects of Guvenor's Choice and Mystical Mac. The latter looks the one most likely to be involved if conditions remain as they are, whilst Alabanza faces a tougher test than last time. SNOWDON hacked up on her handicap debut and, although up 8lb, she looked good value for that and her stable are in good form.