14:35 Ayr

Tuesday 22 May 2018

All14:0014:3515:0515:3516:1016:4517:1517:45

Book Direct At Western House Hotel Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 14:35 | Winning time: 1m 39.69s

(3)

Thornaby Nash^p¹⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 10-0| J: Gemma Tutty⁽⁵⁾| T: K Tutty| OR: 60| D

9/2

Winner at Nottingham last time out and has gone up 4lb as a result. That was in a big enough field and he was done no favours by a loose horse in the closing stages, so may be value for further than the winning distance.

Form: 14494-1

(2)

Pepys²²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: G Lee| T: B Smart| OR: 59| BF

5/1

Most of his racing has come over 7f, and unproven over this longer trip. A winner on the AW two starts back but needs to improve on less inspiring effort at Wolverhampton last time.

Form: 4546-14

(11)

Kiwi Bay²¹

Age: 13| Weight: 9-11| J: Paula Muir⁽⁷⁾| T: M Dods| OR: 57| C| D

11/1

Back down to this trip but has plenty of form over this distance, including off higher marks in the past. Not at that level now in his later racing years and draw not ideal, but ran well over 1m2f at Newcastle two starts back.

Form: 700-930

(1)

Sooqaan⁵⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 9-9| J: Cam Hardie| T: A Brittain| OR: 55| D

12/1

Improver on the AW through the winter, but not as effective on turf (1-16). That is reflected in his 18lb lower mark in this sphere, however.

Form: 111477

(12)

Rioja Day^b²²²

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: Phil Dennis⁽³⁾| T: J S Goldie| OR: 53| C| D

33/1

Likes it here but not exactly the most consistent and not generally seen to best effect on quick ground; others hold more convincing claims.

Form: 731029-

(8)

Coviglia²³⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-7| J: Nathan Evans| T: Samantha & Jacqueline Coward| OR: 53

8/1

Makes his handicap debut here off a low mark having shown little in five maidens. Has switched yards but best watched on first run out of maiden company, especially having been off since September.

Form: 4/0047-

(10)

Red Charmer¹⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: D C Costello| T: Mrs A Duffield| OR: 53| D

16/1

Slightly better at Nottingham last time but was still a long way behind Thornaby Nash, and it's tough to see him reversing form with that reopposing rival.

Form: 38/00-09

(4)

Gone With The Wind^p¹⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 9-6| J: D Tudhope| T: Rebecca Bastiman| OR: 52| CD

9/2

Not disgraced when hitting the frame at Musselburgh last time out on a similar mark here (1lb lower). A lot of form on the AW but also acts well on turf (is a C&D winner), and has won off higher marks in the past.

Form: 847153

(5)

Tennessee Rose^t⁸

Age: 4| Weight: 9-5| J: Ben Coen⁽⁷⁾| T: A Keatley| OR: 51

7/1

Yet to fire for this yard and only career win came over shorter than this, so looks an unlikely winner even off this low mark.

Form: 90-9080

(6)

Stardrifter¹⁸⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: D Nolan| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 49| BF| D

20/1

Runner-up over 7f at Newcastle on last two runs over 2017, but hasn't won since July 2015 and generally moderate form on turf during the last campaign.

Form: 055022-

(7)

Play With Me³³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 48

12/1

Six race maiden and seventh behind Pepys at Newcastle last time out. Tough to see her reversing that form even now she's better off at the weights and over slightly further.

Form: 5453-77

(9)

Let Right Be Done^b,h¹⁹⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: A Mullen| T: Miss L A Perratt| OR: 46| C

40/1

Won a handicap at Musselburgh in October, but three subsequent runs last year were poor efforts, and hasn't won first time out in any of his previous four seasons on the track.

Form: 081075-

Forecasts

Thornaby Nash (9/2), Gone With The Wind (9/2), Pepys (5/1), Tennessee Rose (7/1), Coviglia (8/1), Kiwi Bay (11/1), Play With Me (12/1), Sooqaan (12/1), Red Charmer (16/1), Stardrifter (20/1), Rioja Day (33/1), Let Right Be Done (40/1)

Pepys has a couple of questions to answer, especially in terms of trip, but arrives here in better form than most of these, while Gone With The Wind ran fairly well at Musselburgh last time out and should go close again. However THORNABY NASH did well to win at Nottingham last time having been interfered with by a loose horse in the closing stages, has been put up a fair 4lb and should enjoy the ground. He can secure a second win in a row here.