16:15 Carlisle

Monday 21 May 2018

All14:1514:4515:1515:4516:1516:4517:1517:45

smarkets.com Durdar Novice Stakes

Off time: 16:18 | Winning time: 1m 26.14s

(2)

Blue Medici²¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: P Makin| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife

11/1

Sixth of nine on debut at Thirsk last time and drops back in trip by a furlong here. Likely set for a supporting role even if he manages to show some progression.

Form: 6

(7)

It's Never Enough¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 9-13| J: J Garritty| T: J Ewart

50/1

Finished fourth in a bumper last November but not having an impact at 40/1 in a 5f maiden at Thirsk last time out. Up in trip here and should appreciate the extra distance, but still has improvement to find.

Form: 6

(10)

Arbalet^t³⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: Josephine Gordon| T: H Palmer| OR: 100| D

4/7

Has had more racing than the rest of these, but finished third in a Group 3 at Sandown in November. Should prove tough to beat on his return to novice company having previously won easily at this level.

Form: 22136-7

(1)

Dazzle Gold¹⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-9| J: K Stott| T: R M H Cowell| OR: 81| D

9/4

Smooth winner at Musselburgh last time out over this trip, and even under a penalty he's still fairly well treated against the older horses so should go very well again.

Form: 537-1

(11)

Butterfly Lily³⁹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston

5/1

Not disgraced on debut at Newbury last time when finishing a close sixth. Has since moved from Ralph Beckett to Mark Johnston and should run well again on stable debut.

Form: 6-

(9)

Millie The Minx⁶

Age: 4| Weight: 9-8| J: T Eaves| T: Mrs Dianne Sayer

100/1

Has had plenty of chances both on the Flat and over hurdles, not managing to play a serious role in any of them. Everything to prove on this return to the level.

Form: 06

(6)

Carlton Thomas⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-2| J: Nathan Evans| T: M & D Easterby

66/1

Showed little progression between her two runs, including when dropped back to this trip last time out. Others hold more convincing claims.

Form: 00

(5)

Angel Eyes²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Connor Murtagh⁽⁵⁾| T: J Riches

100/1

Down the field at 66/1 on debut at Doncaster last time out and difficult to see her showing the requisite improvement to get involved in this.

Form: 0

(8)

Boudica Bay²⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: Rachel Richardson⁽³⁾| T: E J Alston

80/1

Last of the eight at Catterick last time out on debut. Off since then (September), and likely to need further than this slightly longer trip in time.

Form: 8-

Non-Runners

(4)

Xin Chao²⁸

Weight: 9-8| Age: 5

T: B Ellison J: Ben Robinson

(3)

Cathie's Dream²⁰²

Weight: 8-11| Age: 3

T: N Wilson J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Arbalet (4/7), Dazzle Gold (9/4), Butterfly Lily (5/1), Blue Medici (11/1), It's Never Enough (50/1), Xin Chao (50/1), Carlton Thomas (66/1), Cathie's Dream (66/1), Boudica Bay (80/1), Millie The Minx (100/1), Angel Eyes (100/1)

Though he's had more racing than the rest of these, ARBALET was good enough to finish third in a Group 3 at Sandown in November, and now returning to novice company (having previously recorded an impressive success in a similar race), he should be very tough to beat. Recent Musselburgh winner Dazzle Gold and and Butterfly Lily can fill the places.