16:40 Warwick

Friday 23 February 2018

All13:5014:2515:0015:3016:0516:4017:10

Six Nations Rugby At 188Bet Handicap Chase

Off time: 16:40 | Winning time: 6m 51.3s

Capard King^p¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 11-12| J: R P McLernon| T: J & A O'Neill| OR: 120

6/1

3m+ and soft ground is the ideal scenario for this multiple winner, who is now 16lb lower than his last winning mark from 2016. Went close last time when worn down on the line and he deserves to go one better.

Form: 0-063U3

Brownville^p,t⁹⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 11-11| J: Thomas Bellamy| T: N & W Twiston-Davies| OR: 119

14/1

Beat a poor lot at Uttoxeter in May and he struggled back there in November from this mark. Possible this rating overestimates that latest success and he is best watched on his return from a break.

Form: 446-15P

West Wizard^t²⁷

Age: 9| Weight: 11-8| J: B S Hughes| T: Mrs S Leech| OR: 116

8/1

Shaped a bit better last time but he is still a long way below the form which would make him competitive from this kind of mark.

Form: 26P654

Fly Home Harry^p,t⁴²

Age: 9| Weight: 11-5| J: Paul O'Brien⁽⁵⁾| T: C E Longsdon| OR: 113

10/1

Much improved lately for his new yard although he has been found some easy opportunities. This looks harder but he is in better form than most.

Form: 24-21P1

More Than Luck^p,t³²

Age: 7| Weight: 11-3| J: Fergus Gregory⁽⁷⁾| T: O Murphy| OR: 111

8/1

This is much easier than his last run over fences but his jumping left a lot to be desired and it is going to be tested down the back line of fences.

Form: 3P1314

Heroes Or Ghosts⁶⁴

Age: 9| Weight: 11-1| J: D A Jacob| T: Miss J S Davis| OR: 109

7/1

1-19 record but his Kempton third in October off a higher mark offers encouragement as does the improving ground conditions.

Form: 7642P4

Twojayslad¹⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 10-12| J: W T Kennedy| T: Ian Williams| OR: 106| C

11/2

Scored over these fences in 2016 and has dropped to a mark just 1lb higher. Will have needed his latest run and impossible to rule out in a modest event.

Form: 4/1PP2-7

Talk Of The South²⁹

Age: 9| Weight: 10-2| J: P J Brennan| T: P Henderson| OR: 96| BF| D

2/1

Produced his best form for some time over C&D a month ago and the winner has gone in again since off a higher mark. Leading player on that evidence.

Form: P3U3P2

Astigos¹⁴

Age: 11| Weight: 10-0| J: Miss L Brooke⁽⁷⁾| T: Lady S Brooke| OR: 87

50/1

Yet to win beyond 2m5f and stamina for this sort of trip has to be a major concern. 7lb out of the weights and hard to fancy.

Form: 692355

Forecasts

Talk Of The South (2/1), Twojayslad (11/2), Capard King (6/1), Heroes Or Ghosts (7/1), West Wizard (8/1), More Than Luck (8/1), Fly Home Harry (10/1), Brownville (14/1), Astigos (50/1)

CAPARD KING put up a bold bid at Doncaster when collared close home at Doncaster. He has run well over this sort of trip here when hurdling and he is selected to concede weight to a modest bunch. Talk Of The South ran well over C&D last time and the winner has franked the form by scoring since and Fly Home Harry continues to thrive for Charlie Longsdon and cannot be discounted despite another shift in the weights. Twojayslad has form around here and will be better for his latest run following a break, whilst the quicker forecast conditions are a help to Heroes Or Ghosts.