15:15 Hereford Wed 29 November 2017

  • Brecon Carreg ROA/Racing Post Owners Jackpot Handicap Hurdle (Class 4)
  • 2m 3f 147y, Good to Firm (Good in places)
  • 15 Runners
  • Winner£4,289.002nd£1,259.003rd£630.004th£315.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:4m 48.7sOff time:15:15:26
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
911-12OR: 105D
12/1

Well beaten by Midnight Gypsy over this distance last time. On a 20 month/19-race losing streak and hard to see that being reversed over a trip short of her best.

Last RunWatch last race
2
711-11OR: 104
8/1

Signs of promise as a novice last term. Having looked one paced over longer distances, this drop in trip may not be what is needed.

Last RunWatch last race
3
911-11OR: 104
20/1

Won an amateurs race off this mark last season but failed to progress in his next two starts. Booking of a top conditional looks a sign of intent and there are a few in here who could provide the pace he needs.

Last RunWatch last race
4
911-11OR: 104
25/1

Has not looked that straightforward and arrives on the back of a dismal effort last time. Hard to fancy in his current mood.

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5
711-10OR: 103BFD
6/1

In good form at Worcester this summer during which he exploited an attractive mark to quicken off a slow pace in August. Runner-up next time to a horse who subsequently defied a 7lb penalty and of obvious interest here.

Last RunWatch last race
6
911-9OR: 102CD
7/1

Took her latest race apart with a good leap two out before idling on the run-in. Would have gone into many notebooks as one to complete a hat-trick, but few would have anticipated a 13lb rise in the weights.

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7
811-8OR: 101CD
25/1

In good form around here at the turn of the year on heavy ground. Jumping has been a problem lately and that, with the forecast quick conditions, makes him hard to recommend.

Last RunWatch last race
8
711-7OR: 100
50/1

Well beaten on last two starts and handicap mark would appear to have much further to fall before he gets competitive.

Last RunWatch last race
9
1011-6OR: 99D
22/1

The form of this summer's success at Stratford amounted to little and his record of 2-30 further limits his appeal.

Last RunWatch last race
10
611-6OR: 99
25/1

Not a bad effort when third to Resolution Bay in April but has not built on that since. Makes handicap debut and opening mark does not appear that generous.

Last RunWatch last race
11
711-1OR: 94
6/1

Has made progress since joining this yard and the fitting of a hood has been the key. Not beaten far last time and the winner has scored since.

Last RunWatch last race
12
811-0OR: 93
15/2

Down to the mark which brought a Catterick success under this rider last winter. Having scored on his debut he is 1-30 since and he may need slower conditions than are forecast.

Last RunWatch last race
13
810-1OR: 80
12/1

The fitting of a tongue-tie and the step up to 3m inspired an improved performance a month ago. Will probably find things happening too quickly down 5f in distance and on a track this sharp.

Last RunWatch last race
14
1110-0OR: 79
22/1

Scored on debut in 2010, again in 2012 and more recently in 2016. Showed he can bounce back from a poor run on that occasion, but his unpredictability and latest effort make him difficult to recommend.

Last RunWatch last race
15
1010-0OR: 77BF
11/2

Had proved modest under both codes until in form yard sparked an improved effort on penultimate start. Soft ground may have been a factor last time when he also took a strong hold. Well supported on those occasions and he has a modest race in him.

Last RunWatch last race

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
Super Sam711-123/1
T: Miss V WilliamsJ: Charlie Deutsch

Betting

Forecast

Silva Samourai (11/2), State The Obvious (6/1), Comber Mill (6/1), Midnight Gypsy (7/1), Cougar Kid (15/2), Schnabel (8/1), Lady Of Longstone (12/1), Sidsteel (12/1), Thomas Blossom (20/1), John Biscuit (22/1), Mr Mafia (22/1), Knight's Parade (25/1), Way Of The World (25/1), Hoola Hula (25/1), Marlais (50/1)

Verdict

Midnight Gypsy won with a lot of authority last time but did not beat much and a 13lb rise makes the hat-trick far from a foregone conclusion. Silva Samourai has come in for solid support on both starts for his in form yard and has each-way value off his basement mark. Comber Mill is going the right way and his latest career best effort puts him up for consideration. STATE THE OBVIOUS opened his account at Worcester and then found a well-handicapped rival too strong there last time. If proving as good around here, then this unexposed type could prove to be on the right side of the assessor.
  1. State The Obvious
  2. Midnight Gypsy
  3. Silva Samourai

Video Replay

Most Followed

Honeysuckle

F: 1-111

T: H De Bromhead

Matterhorn

F: 11-1117

T: M Johnston

Uae Jewel

F: -

T: R Varian

Burrows Saint

F: 203-411

T: W P Mullins

Setting Sail

F: 21/

T: C Appleby

Most Followed

Honeysuckle

F: 1-111

T: H De Bromhead

Matterhorn

F: 11-1117

T: M Johnston

Uae Jewel

F: -

T: R Varian

Burrows Saint

F: 203-411

T: W P Mullins

Setting Sail

F: 21/

T: C Appleby

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