15:45 Ayr

Wednesday 15 November 2017

All12:3013:0013:3514:1014:4015:1015:45

Christmas Parties At Ayr Racecourse Junior Standard Open NH Flat Race

  • 3YO only  |   Class 6  |   1m 5f 123y  |   Heavy (Soft in places)  |   6 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:47  |   Winning time: 3m 29.55s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
Horse silk
Emissaire
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-12| J: Blair Campbell(7)| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell
9/2
€24,000 purchase at Arqana Sales 2016. Some speed in the pedigree and should progress with time, but yard a bit quiet at the moment and are just 8-113 in bumpers last five years.
2
Horse silk
Forewarningt25
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-12| J: James Corbett(5)| T: S Corbett
9/4
Bred to have more speed that a few of these and despite a 50/1 price tag, ran a cracker on Market Rasen debut last month, only beaten a head. Different ground to cope with here and this may be more of a stamina test, but chance very much respected.
3
Horse silk
It's Never Enough
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-12| J: C O'Farrell| T: J Ewart
5/2
€13,000 purchase in the summer of 2016. Related to plenty of Flat winners so likely to have some speed, but on the other hand, most of those winners were 7f/1m horses, so stamina a possible issue on debut today. Yard in form, though.
4
Horse silk
Orkan
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-12| J: Jamie Hamilton(3)| T: M Walford
7/1
Son of Shirocco (first foal) ; dam stayed 2m2f on the Flat, stamina not an issue but yard 0-16 in bumpers last five years and there's surely more likely winners.
5
Horse silk
Qasrh110
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-12| J: Callum Bewley(3)| T: K Dalgleish
4/1
€32,000 purchase in the summer of 2016 (price increased from previous sale). Bred for a bit of speed (related to 6f/7f winners) but some stamina on dam's side, and ran well on debut (if a little keen) at Carlisle earlier in month. Chance here.
6
Horse silk
Gracie Stansfield25
Age: 3|  Weight: 10-5| J: Thomas Dowson(5)| T: P A Kirby
16/1
Relatively cheap purchase at Tattersalls Ireland last year. Mix of speed and stamina in the pedigree and hasn't been disgraced in a couple of bumpers to date. Faces different ground here, but may progress again, and looks one for each-way players.

Forecasts

Forewarning (9/4), It's Never Enough (5/2), Qasr (4/1), Emissaire (9/2), Orkan (7/1), Gracie Stansfield (16/1)

Verdict

Not easy to solve, despite the small field, as all six have positives and negatives against them. IT'S NEVER ENOUGH has the stamina query against him, but this small field might not stretch that too much, and he might be able to make a winning debut. With Forewarning its whether he'll be as effective on this likely slower ground but if he is, his chance is obvious after a very good debut effort. Qasr could give them both something to think about if settling better.
  1. It's Never Enough
  2. Forewarning
  3. Qasr

Prize Money

1st: £1,624.002nd: £477.003rd: £238.004th: £119.00

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