16:55 Carlisle

Thursday 26 October 2017

All14:1514:5015:2015:5516:2516:55

Watch Racing UK On BT TV Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 16:55 | Winning time: 5m 10.35s

Durbanville²⁹⁷

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: Henry Brooke| T: J Ewart| OR: 104

15/2

Not devoid of promise in two starts over hurdles for Keith Dalgleish, though if they are to be taken at face value then this looks a stiff enough mark for his handicap debut on his first start for this trainer.

Form: 44-

Towering^b⁷^{(ex 7)}

Age: 8| Weight: 11-12| J: N P Madden| T: C R Dore| OR: 97

6/1

Pulled up on his only start on heavy ground, though stayed on well to win by 5L on soft at Uttoxeter (2m4f) last time. Carries a penalty for that today, but couldn't rule out a follow-up success now that he is back in form.

Form: 442671

Princess Mononoke¹⁶²

Age: 6| Weight: 11-10| J: Abbie McCain⁽⁷⁾| T: D McCain Jnr| OR: 102

6/1

Point-to-point winner who landed a Hexham novices' hurdle (2m, soft) in March by 24L and ran well here over 2m 1f next time. Returns after a break for this with a 2lb drop and at a trip where improvement looks possible. Interesting.

Form: 39513-P

Number One London²¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-8| J: Alan Johns| T: Tim Vaughan| OR: 100| BF

5/1

Sole success over hurdles was well over two years ago in maiden company and given today's conditions, there have to be concerns that all of his best form is on sound/fast ground. Beaten favourite last time and another 2lb rise unlikely to help.

Form: 9P7-522

Instingtive²⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-4| J: Ross Chapman⁽⁵⁾| T: Miss L Harrison| OR: 96

25/1

His only win was at Plumpton (2m1f, heavy) in January from 3lb higher when with Gary Moore, but it has largely been downhill since. Is on a handy mark again, with his rider's claim also to deduct, but it still takes a leap of faith to support him.

Form: 353-58U

Greenworldsolution^t²³

Age: 5| Weight: 11-4| J: Sean Quinlan| T: J Candlish| OR: 96

6/1

Best form has been on good ground and conditions as testing at this are of great concern. Otherwise, he comes here in good form, though he has gone up a total of 6lb for his last two placed runs, making this a tough ask.

Form: 036622

Turtle Cask^p²⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 11-2| J: B S Hughes| T: M E Sowersby| OR: 94

9/2

Scored over 2m7½f on heavy at Hexham last month when rated just 88. His other two wins, when with Dianne Sayer, were at around today's mark, so he is not ruled out now dropped to this trip if he is able to make it into a test.

Form: 3-59516

Snowed In^p³⁶

Age: 8| Weight: 11-1| J: Andrew Tinkler| T: B Butterworth| OR: 93| C| D

10/1

Won here (2m1f, soft) three years ago when on today's mark and has added two further successes at Catterick. Yet to produce his best on heavy, but has been placed on it, gets this trip and could be competitive from this mark.

Form: 0-73423

Justatenner^t¹⁸

Age: 6| Weight: 11-1| J: D R Fox| T: F P Murtagh| OR: 93

22/1

Handles heavy conditions, though his sole success was on soft at Uttoxeter (2m) last year. Proven over 2m7f, but things have not been going his way of late and, while he is on a dangerous mark, we need to see more before he can be recommended again.

Form: 6-075PF

Vodka Red^p,t²²²

Age: 9| Weight: 10-7| J: K Yeoman⁽⁷⁾| T: Kenny Johnson| OR: 85

33/1

Just 1-23, though trip and ground are fine for him. Of more concern is his wellbeing after just one start last season. Returns with new headgear combi and if fully wound up he is on a competitive marks, but has plenty to prove.

Form: PP823/4-

Lucarno Dancer^h,t³⁶

Age: 7| Weight: 10-4| J: Callum Bewley⁽³⁾| T: R Shiels| OR: 82

22/1

Sole appearance among the prizes was when an 18L second (66-1) at Hexham (2m, good) in May, but both that and her subsequent 14L defeat from 2lb higher on her handicap debut mark her out as a winner this time.

Form: 6/858-29

Forecasts

Turtle Cask (9/2), Number One London (5/1), Towering (6/1), Princess Mononoke (6/1), Greenworldsolution (6/1), Durbanville (15/2), Snowed In (10/1), Justatenner (22/1), Lucarno Dancer (22/1), Instingtive (25/1), Vodka Red (33/1)

Turtle Cask is not ruled out here if he can bring his proven stamina over further into play on ground that suits, while Greenworldsolution would be of greater interest on better ground. Number One London has been nudged up for a defeat last time and with all of his best form on better ground, he is perhaps another one to take on. Towering has to be respected after scoring last time, though he has a penalty to shoulder and the suggestion is therefore PRINCESS MONONOKE, who should be suited by this longer trip and a slight drop in the weights.