20:15 Wolverhampton

Saturday 21 October 2017

All17:4018:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:4521:15

FCL Personalised Global Freight Solutions Handicap (Div 1)

Off time: 20:21 | Winning time: 1m 50.15s

(7)

Top Offer^b1⁴²

Age: 8| Weight: 9-7| J: F Norton| T: P Morris| OR: 55| C

5/1

Former course winner, wasn't beat all that far (4L) last month over C&D and now gets first-time blinkers added. Should be in the mix.

Form: 693257

(3)

Sunnyside Bob²⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-4| J: R Winston| T: N Bycroft| OR: 52

16/1

Still seeking a breakthrough after 18 runs and well held on recent AW starts. First time beyond sprinting trips and probably best watched on that basis.

Form: 070-080

(1)

Born To Reason^b¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-3| J: D C Costello| T: K Frost| OR: 55| CD

11/8

First-time blinkers (retained) had desired effect when breaking duck over a furlong longer here earlier this month, carries only 3lb more for that win and player again if headgear works a second time.

Form: 973701

(5)

Kensington Palace^p³²

Age: 4| Weight: 9-2| J: Barry McHugh| T: Mrs Marjorie Fife| OR: 50

20/1

Eight-race maiden who went closest when a 1¼L runner-up over 6f at Redcar in May. Has been solid at times since without looking like gaining a win but has slipped in the weights to a career low mark. Poor in both previous AW outings.

Form: 244080

(12)

Bearag¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Shelley Birkett⁽³⁾| T: D O'Meara| OR: 52

33/1

Has failed to build on the promise of her first two career starts. Handicapper has been sympathetic but poor at Kempton recently over 7f, first time beyond the mile now and needs to improve dramatically.

Form: 3-97670

(11)

Devil's Guard⁵²

Age: 3| Weight: 8-13| J: Connor Beasley| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 51

13/2

Best effort from eight starts was when a runner-up on soft ground over an extended-mile at Hamilton in July, gone backwards again since and has work to do making AW bow.

Form: 0-64297

(8)

Stamp Duty¹⁷⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 8-12| J: L Morris| T: Suzzanne France| OR: 45| CD

11/1

Record is 3-58 with most recent win coming over C&D in December 2014. Close second over C&D in April when last spotted, will have to prove fitness now after 175 days away. Watch market.

Form: 7796-42

(10)

Gog Elles^b³

Age: 3| Weight: 8-11| J: B A Curtis| T: J S Moore| OR: 49

10/1

Yet to truly make her mark over a variety of trips to date but has probably been most effective over slightly further than this. Plenty more needed here than the majority of her recent runs and beaten a dozen lengths at Kempton (1m) three days ago.

Form: 489960

(4)

Henry Did It⁵¹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-9| J: Tom Marquand| T: A W Carroll| OR: 47

12/1

Maiden after 11 starts, poor last time at Bath having missed break (possibly best forgiven) but tentative positives previous to that. Has to hold some claims off this decreasing mark back on AW.

Form: 9-03646

(2)

Tranquil Tracy²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Adam Beschizza| T: J R Norton| OR: 45

50/1

Modest performer who is without a win after 14 starts. Nothing in her CV to suggest she will be shedding her maiden tag and is 2lb out of the handicap.

Form: 796660

(6)

Bed Of Diamonds⁹

Age: 3| Weight: 8-8| J: Rhiain Ingram⁽⁵⁾| T: A West| OR: 45

33/1

Has been tried at everything from 1m6f to 7f in four starts this year, with very limited success. First outing on Tapeta, looks to be up against it again.

Form: 868009

Rule 4

Rule 4 applies to all bets - deduction 5p in the pound

Non-Runners

(13)

Three Majors¹⁵¹

Weight: 9-6| Age: 4

T: A McCann J: C J McGovern

(9)

Lucky Ellen³¹

Weight: 8-12| Age: 3

T: J Candlish J: Non Runner

Forecasts

Born To Reason (11/8), Top Offer (5/1), Lucky Ellen (6/1), Devil's Guard (13/2), Gog Elles (10/1), Stamp Duty (11/1), Henry Did It (12/1), Three Majors (14/1), Sunnyside Bob (16/1), Kensington Palace (20/1), Bed Of Diamonds (33/1), Bearag (33/1), Tranquil Tracy (50/1)

BORN TO REASON was well-backed here last time sporting first-time blinkers and, despite an unpromising position on the home turn, stayed on strongly once seeing daylight to get the job done. A 3lb hike doesn't appear overly penal and if the headgear retains its effect now, he can collect again over this shorter trip. Top Offer wasn't beaten all that far over C&D himself last time and, now reaching for the blinkers himself, should be capable of a challenge while Henry Did It is given some claims from a falling mark. Stamp Duty and Three Majors, both returning from breaks, merit a look in the betting to gauge confidence as both have the potential to get involved.