16:10 Musselburgh

Sunday 1 October 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3516:1016:4517:20

Irish Stallions Farms EBF Scottish Premier Series Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 16:10 | Winning time: 1m 42.84s

(2)

Sophie P²²

Age: 4| Weight: 10-0| J: Callum Rodriguez⁽⁵⁾| T: R M Smith| OR: 92| D

11/1

Runner-up in this race a year ago has been set some stern tests lately and possibly found 1m2f beyond her. This more realistic but 14lb higher in the race this time round.

Form: 122787

(7)

Set In Stone¹⁵

Age: 3| Weight: 9-11| J: Rowan Scott⁽⁵⁾| T: J P Shanahan| OR: 92| CD

6/4

Made rapid progress since getting off the mark in June and completed a hat-trick last time out over C&D. Up a further 6lb today but can't be ruled out while improving at this rate.

Form: 716111

(1)

Whatsthemessage¹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-10| J: G Lee| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 91| C| D

6/1

Completed a four-timer before finding Group 3 company beyond her last time. Wins came from 7f here to 1m1f at Hamilton. Now up 21lb from start of winning run and didn't appear to have anything in hand in latest narrow victory.

Form: 311110

(4)

Peach Melba²²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-8| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 89| D

6/1

Completed a treble in small fields in the summer. Out of sorts lately but trainer's runners often bounce back. Probably high enough in the weights here.

Form: 211128

(3)

Alexandrakollontai^b¹⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: J P Sullivan| T: A C Whillans| OR: 77| D

40/1

Won at Redcar in July but only beaten 2 rivals in 3 subsequent races and hard to fancy having been 16L behind in each of her last 2 starts.

Form: 871767

(5)

Lucky Violet⁴²²

Age: 5| Weight: 8-9| J: D Allan| T: I Jardine| OR: 73| C

10/1

Not seen since winning here last August. Withdrawn from race in May so presumably been something amiss. Big ask after such a layoff especially off career high mark.

Form: 455221-

(8)

Invermere¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-9| J: T Hamilton| T: R A Fahey| OR: 73| D

4/1

2L second to Set In Stone latest but every chance to reverse placings now 11lb better off with that rival. Not won this season but now 4lb below last winning mark and merits respect.

Form: 573542

(6)

Forever A Lady¹⁵

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: A Mullen| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 67

25/1

Well behind Set In Stone and Invermere over C&D last time out and unplaced in last eight races. Hard to see her bouncing back here.

Form: 495444

Forecasts

Set In Stone (6/4), Invermere (4/1), Peach Melba (6/1), Whatsthemessage (6/1), Lucky Violet (10/1), Sophie P (11/1), Forever A Lady (25/1), Alexandrakollontai (40/1)

Both Whatsthemessage and Set In Stone have had fine summers and remain capable given their level of improvement. INVERMERE conversely hasn't won this season but is weighted to reverse with Set In Stone and now looks well handicapped overall. Richard Fahey's filly handles all going and can land this valuable prize.