16:30 Chepstow

Thursday 14 September 2017

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2515:5516:30

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Off time: 16:34 | Winning time: 2m 41.77s

(11)

Incredible Dream^p¹⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-9| J: Jack Duern⁽³⁾| T: D K Ivory| OR: 62| BF

9/1

Winner over 1m2f at Nottingham and has performed to a higher level in his two most recent starts since moving up to this trip. Split Casaclare and Iley Boy here last time and they are closely matched in this.

Form: 051723

(13)

Howardian Hills⁹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: S W Kelly| T: V R A Dartnall| OR: 59| D

16/1

Shock winner of a Wolverhampton claimer in July (runner-up landed a handicap next time). That effort, and his latest, suggest he is fairly weighted but the ground is a bigger concern.

Form: 66-0182

(4)

Monar Lad³⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 9-5| J: T J Murphy| T: D Burchell| OR: 58

16/1

Modest hurdler who has improved with each of his three Flat runs. Latest effort flatters him and the form has been devalued since. Looks high enough in the weights for his handicap debut.

Form: 564

(6)

Meyandi⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: Joshua Bryan⁽⁵⁾| T: A M Balding| OR: 66| CD

2/5

Unpenalised for his C&D victory in an apprentice race last week and due to go up 9lb in future. Will be hard to beat if able to dominate from the front in similar fashion.

Form: 08-221

(7)

Pershing^h²⁹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-4| J: T E Whelan| T: K Frost| OR: 57

28/1

Winner of seller over hurdles this summer but Flat form leaves him with something to find. Appears better on a sounder surface and stable have been quiet.

Form: 26755/0-

(2)

Big Sigh²⁰¹

Age: 3| Weight: 9-4| J: R Kingscote| T: I Mohammed| OR: 65

14/1

Hinted at some ability in juvenile maidens and current mark looks about right. Off the track since a winter campaign in Meydan and likely to need the run.

Form: 760-83

(9)

Turnbury^p⁵¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-3| J: Ryan Tate| T: Mrs N S Evans| OR: 56| D

33/1

Four-time winner in his career but only won once from 16 turf starts. That did come on soft ground over this sort of trip and signs of a return to form last time at Ffos Las but losing run mounting up.

Form: 8653D4

(12)

Casaclare^t¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-1| J: Fran Berry| T: J & A O'Neill| OR: 62

9/1

Finished ahead of Incredible Dream and Iley Boy when stepping up to this trip last time. Faces a stiffer task off 4lb higher but lightly raced and clearly improving for top connections.

Form: 063-62

(5)

Iley Boy¹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 8-5| J: M Dwyer| T: J Gallagher| OR: 52

20/1

Not far behind Casaclare and Incredible Dream here last time and the trio are closely matched on today's terms. Lightly raced and has each-way prospects.

Form: 0044

(8)

Breeze Up^p1²⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 8-4| J: Jane Elliott⁽⁵⁾| T: E De Giles| OR: 45

40/1

Beaten an aggregate of 131L in three starts and embarks on a handicapping career from 6lb out of the weights.

Form: 009

Non-Runners

(1)

Eastern Lady²⁸

Weight: 9-3| Age: 4

T: R J Price J: Mitch Godwin

(10)

Kings City²³

Weight: 9-1| Age: 3

T: L M Cumani J: Non Runner

(3)

Netley Abbey³⁵

Weight: 8-4| Age: 3

T: Karen George J: Rhiain Ingram

Forecasts

Meyandi (2/5), Kings City (8/1), Incredible Dream (9/1), Casaclare (9/1), Big Sigh (14/1), Monar Lad (16/1), Howardian Hills (16/1), Iley Boy (20/1), Netley Abbey (20/1), Pershing (28/1), Turnbury (33/1), Breeze Up (40/1), Eastern Lady (50/1)

MEYANDI scored over C&D last week on similar ground and is effectively 9lb "well-in" for this. The only doubt would be that this is a bigger field and he may not get the run of the race, but he remains hard to oppose. Kings City is a viable opponent given the stable's current form and the likelihood of improvement over this longer trip. Casaclare showed improved form last time but a rise in the weights makes his task more difficult given MEYANDI's presence.