14:30 Newbury

Saturday 22 April 2017

All13:5514:3015:0515:4016:1516:4517:2017:55

Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Registered As The Fred Darling Stakes) (Str)

Off time: 14:33 | Winning time: 1m 24.54s

(6)

Arwa¹⁹⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Jim Crowley| T: C Hills| OR: 80

100/1

Won her maiden at Ripon but struggled in three starts since. Drop back in trip looks a positive but she has plenty to find in this company and probably best left alone despite the trainer's flying start to the season.

Form: 81760-8

(8)

Dabyah²⁰²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: L Dettori| T: J & T Gosden| OR: 112

6/4

Two wins from three runs so far and only defeated narrowly on her final start of 2016 in a Group 1 at Chantilly. C&D win prior to that was an impressive effort when making all to win by 9L and connections have made a remarkable start to the season. Her Group 1 form is among the best on offer and she should go close provided she's done well over the winter.

Form: 113-1

(11)

Glitter Girl¹⁸²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P Cosgrave| T: W J Haggas| OR: 101

8/1

Made an excellent start to her season last year, rattling off a hat-trick in the summer and only beaten narrowly on three subsequent starts at Group/Listed level. May do even better this year and yard have started the season well.

Form: 11422-7

(3)

Mystic Dawn¹⁷⁶

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: James Doyle| T: D M Simcock| OR: 98

14/1

Winner at Brighton on debut but limitations seemingly exposed since then. May do better this year and possibly in need of a greater stamina test.

Form: 1263-6

(9)

Pichola Dance¹⁸²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: R Varian| OR: 94

25/1

Reeled off back-to-back wins in September last year, one in a class 2 handicap but struggled when in deeper waters. Trainer has had winners this week but this filly may be a little out of her depth.

Form: 41103-0

(1)

Poet's Princess¹⁸²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R Winston| T: H Morrison| OR: 84

66/1

Won a fillies' race here last year over 6f and ran well in a handicap at Ayr over the same trip but struggled on both starts when dropped into deeper company and looks more effective over sprint trips.

Form: 51029-0

(5)

Promising²³⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: P J Dobbs| T: R Hannon| OR: 100

8/1

Excellent second at Goodwood on debut when keen in the early stages of the contest. Yet to fully confirm all the promise she showed that day but far from disgraced on subsequent starts and the type to do better this year. Trainer has had an excellent start to the season and won this last year; she's a player if she's wintered well.

Form: 232-3

(4)

Queen Kindly²¹⁰

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: J P Spencer| T: R A Fahey| OR: 114

7/2

Upset the odds when beating Fair Eva and Roly Poly in the Lowther Stakes at York last year but failed to back that up in the Cheveley Park at the end of the season. Step up in trip could bring some more improvement out of her and she's entitled to have improved. Leading player.

Form: 13114-5

(10)

Rain Goddess¹⁴

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: R L Moore| T: A P O'Brien| OR: 98

8/1

Won on debut for David Watchman at Leopardstown but she was a shade disappointing on her reappearance at that same track on her first start for this yard. Trainer's runners can often come on leaps and bounds for their reappearance and it's interesting she's sent here. Less exposed than most and should go well.

Form: 1-74

(2)

Think Fashion²³²

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: J Fortune| T: B J Meehan

66/1

Didn't show a great deal on debut here but ran well on her second start at Haydock in September when narrowly denied her maiden win. The winner and the third placed horse have franked that form but she will need to have improved a fair amount to figure here.

Form: 82-93

(7)

Urban Fox¹⁹⁷

Age: 3| Weight: 9-0| J: M Harley| T: J Tate| OR: 100

25/1

Trainer has a good record with his fillies and this filly turned out to be useful last year, winning a class 2 7f contest at Newmarket towards the end of the season. She did struggle each time she stepped into Group or Listed company though and she's more exposed than most in here so probably best watched on her reappearance.

Form: 3313-28

Forecasts

Dabyah (6/4), Queen Kindly (7/2), Promising (8/1), Rain Goddess (8/1), Glitter Girl (8/1), Mystic Dawn (14/1), Urban Fox (25/1), Pichola Dance (25/1), Think Fashion (66/1), Poet's Princess (66/1), Arwa (100/1)

While Dabyah looks like the most likely winner, particularly with her yard in such excellent form, she won't take much finding in the market and it may pay to side with PROMISING in an attempt to find some value. Richard Hannon's runners have looked particularly forward this time around and it looked as if there would be more to come when still learning on the job last year. Queen Kindly was an impressive winner of the Lowther Stakes last year but she was disappointing in a follow up run and it will be interesting to see what the market makes of her. Rain Goddess has race fitness on her side after her run at Leopardstown earlier in the month and it would be no surprise if she came on markedly for that effort.