16:05 Carlisle

Wednesday 5 April 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3516:0516:35

Jess Glynne Here 8th July Handicap Chase

  • 5YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 4f  |   Good to Soft  |   7 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 16:05  |   Winning time: 5m 12.22s
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Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
Show odds
1
Horse silk
Rowdy Rocher48
Age: 11|  Weight: 11-12| J: Rachel McDonald(7)| T: A M Thomson| OR:  120
4/1
Picked up a couple of races at Ayr in January but never threatened to complete the hat-trick next time. Has been given a break since but is yet to win from a mark as high as his.
2
Horse silk
Calivigny44
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-8| J: Lucy Alexander| T: N W Alexander| OR:  116
4/1
Has a brief but chequered history over fences. A promising second to his stable companion Marlee Massie (won again since) in December was followed by two shocking efforts. Shaped better here last time behind a horse that won off a significantly higher mark next time. A further drop in the weights makes him one for the shortlist.
3
Horse silk
Tomkevip,t25
Age: 6|  Weight: 11-7| J: Tony Kelly| T: R Menzies| OR:  115
9/2
Wide margin winner at Sedgefield before disappointing in bad ground at Ayr last time. Handicap mark sets him a stiff task on his chasing debut but yard are in form (2-7 in last 14 days).
4
Horse silk
Freddies Portrait25
Age: 8|  Weight: 11-7| J: W T Kennedy| T: D McCain Jnr| OR:  115
10/3
Yet to run a bad race around here and beat subsequent winner Greybougg over 2m in February. Disappointing at Hereford last time when tackling a longer trip. Should stay this far and looks a contender back on his favourite track and with his stable going well.
5
Horse silk
Tikkandemickeyp8
Age: 11|  Weight: 11-4| J: Daragh Bourke(5)| T: R Shiels| OR:  112
9/1
Picked up his sixth career victory when scoring over C&D in October. Has run well off his revised mark since but for a tame effort over hurdles last time. Runs well around here and ought to give a better account now back over fences.
6
Horse silk
Mumgos Debutt26
Age: 9|  Weight: 11-4| J: S Mulqueen(3)| T: Miss Lucinda V Russell| OR:  112
11/1
Has blundered away races from winning positions in two of his last three starts. Handicapper has given him a chance to add to his victories at Bangor and Hexham should he put in a clear round.
8
Horse silk
Crafty Robertob,t24
Age: 9|  Weight: 10-12| J: L P Aspell| T: A M Hales| OR:  106
8/1
Remains a maiden over fences after 15 attempts. Winner over hurdles at Market Rasen in December off a 3lb higher mark but chase form is more modest and latest run was in a weak race. Yet to win over this trip and this is a testing track.

Non-Runners

7
Horse silk
Presenting Junior51
Weight: 11-1|  Age: 10
T: M Todhunter  J: Henry Brooke
NR

Forecasts

Freddies Portrait (10/3), Calivigny (4/1), Rowdy Rocher (4/1), Tomkevi (9/2), Crafty Roberto (8/1), Tikkandemickey (9/1), Mumgos Debut (11/1), Presenting Junior (12/1)

Verdict

Freddie's Portrait has a good record here and had two subsequent winner behind when scoring here in February. The handicapper may have his measure at present and preference is for CALIVIGNY who has been dropped in the weights after chasing home a well handicapped horse here last time. The eight-year-old looks a more reliable proposition than Mumgos Debut who has been let down by his jumping in recent races. He would probably take this with a clear round but that appears to be a huge risk right now.
  1. Calivigny
  2. Freddies Portrait
  3. Mumgos Debut

Prize Money

1st: £5,848.002nd: £1,717.003rd: £859.004th: £429.00

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